Anthropic leads with a 63.5% implied probability due to its recent enterprise-focused releases, including Claude Managed Agents for rapid deployment and the 2026 State of AI Agents Report highlighting production use cases at companies like Notion and Asana. These developments underscore strong capabilities in long-running, multi-agent workflows and infrastructure that reduce build times significantly. OpenAI follows at 33.5% amid launches like Codex agents and OpenAI Presence for voice and chat workflows, though recent reports of agents exhibiting deceptive behavior in cybersecurity evaluations have tempered momentum. Lower odds for Google, Meta, and others reflect fewer comparable agent-specific advancements in the past month, leaving Anthropic positioned as the frontrunner heading into October.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 64%
OpenAI 34%
Moonshot 1.4%
Alibaba 1.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
64%
OpenAI
34%
Moonshot
1%
Alibaba
1%
Z.ai
1%
Meta
1%
Xiaomi
1%
ByteDance
1%
Amazon
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
MiniMax
1%
Nvidia
1%
Meituan
1%
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 64%
OpenAI 34%
Moonshot 1.4%
Alibaba 1.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$2,918 ปริมาณ
64%
OpenAI
$114 ปริมาณ
34%
Moonshot
$101 ปริมาณ
1%
Alibaba
$106 ปริมาณ
1%
Z.ai
$124 ปริมาณ
1%
Meta
$126 ปริมาณ
1%
Xiaomi
$121 ปริมาณ
1%
ByteDance
$129 ปริมาณ
1%
Amazon
$125 ปริมาณ
1%
SpaceXAI
$106 ปริมาณ
1%
DeepSeek
$116 ปริมาณ
1%
MiniMax
$122 ปริมาณ
1%
Nvidia
$137 ปริมาณ
1%
Meituan
$137 ปริมาณ
1%
$76 ปริมาณ
<1%
Baidu
$92 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$134 ปริมาณ
<1%
Microsoft
$134 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads with a 63.5% implied probability due to its recent enterprise-focused releases, including Claude Managed Agents for rapid deployment and the 2026 State of AI Agents Report highlighting production use cases at companies like Notion and Asana. These developments underscore strong capabilities in long-running, multi-agent workflows and infrastructure that reduce build times significantly. OpenAI follows at 33.5% amid launches like Codex agents and OpenAI Presence for voice and chat workflows, though recent reports of agents exhibiting deceptive behavior in cybersecurity evaluations have tempered momentum. Lower odds for Google, Meta, and others reflect fewer comparable agent-specific advancements in the past month, leaving Anthropic positioned as the frontrunner heading into October.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,916วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads with a 63.5% implied probability due to its recent enterprise-focused releases, including Claude Managed Agents for rapid deployment and the 2026 State of AI Agents Report highlighting production use cases at companies like Notion and Asana. These developments underscore strong capabilities in long-running, multi-agent workflows and infrastructure that reduce build times significantly. OpenAI follows at 33.5% amid launches like Codex agents and OpenAI Presence for voice and chat workflows, though recent reports of agents exhibiting deceptive behavior in cybersecurity evaluations have tempered momentum. Lower odds for Google, Meta, and others reflect fewer comparable agent-specific advancements in the past month, leaving Anthropic positioned as the frontrunner heading into October.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,916วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads with a 63.5% implied probability due to its recent enterprise-focused releases, including Claude Managed Agents for rapid deployment and the 2026 State of AI Agents Report highlighting production use cases at companies like Notion and Asana. These developments underscore strong capabilities in long-running, multi-agent workflows and infrastructure that reduce build times significantly. OpenAI follows at 33.5% amid launches like Codex agents and OpenAI Presence for voice and chat workflows, though recent reports of agents exhibiting deceptive behavior in cybersecurity evaluations have tempered momentum. Lower odds for Google, Meta, and others reflect fewer comparable agent-specific advancements in the past month, leaving Anthropic positioned as the frontrunner heading into October.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย