Trader sentiment on the next Director of National Intelligence appointment reflects a fragmented field, with the highest implied probability on no announcement by December 31. Multiple candidates bring distinct backgrounds in intelligence oversight, congressional service, or national security policy alignment, yet none has consolidated support through public signals or transition announcements. Differentiators include prior DNI experience, Senate relationships that could affect confirmation votes, and emphasis on specific priorities such as foreign intelligence coordination or agency reforms. An official statement from the president-elect or transition team identifying a single nominee could shift probabilities by clarifying intent ahead of the Senate confirmation process.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWho will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?
Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?
No announcement by December 31 26.9%
Aaron Lukas 12%
Elise Stefanik 11%
Michael Ellis 8.8%
$79,514 ปริมาณ
$79,514 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
No announcement by December 31
27%
Aaron Lukas
12%
Elise Stefanik
11%
Michael Ellis
9%
John Ratcliffe
15%
Devin Nunes
7%
Chris Stewart
6%
Mike Flynn
6%
Tom Cotton
5%
Richard Grenell
7%
John Eisenberg
5%
Sebastian Gorka
5%
Amaryllis Fox Kennedy
4%
Derek Harvey
3%
Stephen Miller
3%
Robert O’Brien
3%
Kash Patel
<1%
Mike Waltz
<1%
Stacey Dixon
<1%
No announcement by December 31 26.9%
Aaron Lukas 12%
Elise Stefanik 11%
Michael Ellis 8.8%
$79,514 ปริมาณ
$79,514 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
No announcement by December 31
$18,974 ปริมาณ
27%
Aaron Lukas
$16,810 ปริมาณ
12%
Elise Stefanik
$14,189 ปริมาณ
11%
Michael Ellis
$1,597 ปริมาณ
9%
John Ratcliffe
$324 ปริมาณ
15%
Devin Nunes
$8,795 ปริมาณ
7%
Chris Stewart
$314 ปริมาณ
6%
Mike Flynn
$238 ปริมาณ
6%
Tom Cotton
$8,602 ปริมาณ
5%
Richard Grenell
$7,972 ปริมาณ
7%
John Eisenberg
$156 ปริมาณ
5%
Sebastian Gorka
$148 ปริมาณ
5%
Amaryllis Fox Kennedy
$174 ปริมาณ
4%
Derek Harvey
$254 ปริมาณ
3%
Stephen Miller
$130 ปริมาณ
3%
Robert O’Brien
$164 ปริมาณ
3%
Kash Patel
$238 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mike Waltz
$158 ปริมาณ
<1%
Stacey Dixon
$274 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on the next Director of National Intelligence appointment reflects a fragmented field, with the highest implied probability on no announcement by December 31. Multiple candidates bring distinct backgrounds in intelligence oversight, congressional service, or national security policy alignment, yet none has consolidated support through public signals or transition announcements. Differentiators include prior DNI experience, Senate relationships that could affect confirmation votes, and emphasis on specific priorities such as foreign intelligence coordination or agency reforms. An official statement from the president-elect or transition team identifying a single nominee could shift probabilities by clarifying intent ahead of the Senate confirmation process.
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 22, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$79,514วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 22, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on the next Director of National Intelligence appointment reflects a fragmented field, with the highest implied probability on no announcement by December 31. Multiple candidates bring distinct backgrounds in intelligence oversight, congressional service, or national security policy alignment, yet none has consolidated support through public signals or transition announcements. Differentiators include prior DNI experience, Senate relationships that could affect confirmation votes, and emphasis on specific priorities such as foreign intelligence coordination or agency reforms. An official statement from the president-elect or transition team identifying a single nominee could shift probabilities by clarifying intent ahead of the Senate confirmation process.
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$79,514วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 22, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on the next Director of National Intelligence appointment reflects a fragmented field, with the highest implied probability on no announcement by December 31. Multiple candidates bring distinct backgrounds in intelligence oversight, congressional service, or national security policy alignment, yet none has consolidated support through public signals or transition announcements. Differentiators include prior DNI experience, Senate relationships that could affect confirmation votes, and emphasis on specific priorities such as foreign intelligence coordination or agency reforms. An official statement from the president-elect or transition team identifying a single nominee could shift probabilities by clarifying intent ahead of the Senate confirmation process.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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