Polymarket traders price a 90.5% implied probability against Canada recording its highest monthly unemployment rate since 2016 in 2026, reflecting consensus that no reading will exceed the 14.2% pandemic peak from May 2020. April 2026 Labour Force Survey data revealed a six-month high of 6.9%—up 0.2 points from March's 6.7% amid 18,000 net job losses—yet far below historical extremes, with labour force growth outpacing hiring. Bank of Canada policy rate steady at 2.25% bolsters stabilization, aligning with economist projections near 6.6% annual average. Strong conviction stems from resilient fundamentals absent crisis triggers; realistic challenges include a sharp recession, trade shocks, or surging immigration without job creation, potentially elevating rates before December's final data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
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ใหม่
Feb 15, 2027
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ใหม่
Feb 15, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Polymarket traders price a 90.5% implied probability against Canada recording its highest monthly unemployment rate since 2016 in 2026, reflecting consensus that no reading will exceed the 14.2% pandemic peak from May 2020. April 2026 Labour Force Survey data revealed a six-month high of 6.9%—up 0.2 points from March's 6.7% amid 18,000 net job losses—yet far below historical extremes, with labour force growth outpacing hiring. Bank of Canada policy rate steady at 2.25% bolsters stabilization, aligning with economist projections near 6.6% annual average. Strong conviction stems from resilient fundamentals absent crisis triggers; realistic challenges include a sharp recession, trade shocks, or surging immigration without job creation, potentially elevating rates before December's final data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,345วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 15, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Polymarket traders price a 90.5% implied probability against Canada recording its highest monthly unemployment rate since 2016 in 2026, reflecting consensus that no reading will exceed the 14.2% pandemic peak from May 2020. April 2026 Labour Force Survey data revealed a six-month high of 6.9%—up 0.2 points from March's 6.7% amid 18,000 net job losses—yet far below historical extremes, with labour force growth outpacing hiring. Bank of Canada policy rate steady at 2.25% bolsters stabilization, aligning with economist projections near 6.6% annual average. Strong conviction stems from resilient fundamentals absent crisis triggers; realistic challenges include a sharp recession, trade shocks, or surging immigration without job creation, potentially elevating rates before December's final data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,345วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 15, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a 90.5% implied probability against Canada recording its highest monthly unemployment rate since 2016 in 2026, reflecting consensus that no reading will exceed the 14.2% pandemic peak from May 2020. April 2026 Labour Force Survey data revealed a six-month high of 6.9%—up 0.2 points from March's 6.7% amid 18,000 net job losses—yet far below historical extremes, with labour force growth outpacing hiring. Bank of Canada policy rate steady at 2.25% bolsters stabilization, aligning with economist projections near 6.6% annual average. Strong conviction stems from resilient fundamentals absent crisis triggers; realistic challenges include a sharp recession, trade shocks, or surging immigration without job creation, potentially elevating rates before December's final data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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