Canada’s unemployment rate has stabilized near 6.4% through August 2026 after reaching a post-pandemic high of 7.1% in late 2025, with monthly readings and annual forecasts for 2026 clustered between 6.4% and 6.9%. Recent Statistics Canada data show modest employment gains alongside a shrinking labor force due to lower immigration and population dynamics, keeping the rate below both 2025 levels and the elevated readings seen after 2016. Bank of Canada communications and private-sector outlooks point to gradual improvement in labor demand as GDP rebounds modestly, supporting the 93% market-implied probability that 2026 will not produce the highest rate since 2016. A sharper escalation in U.S. tariffs or unexpected contraction could still push the rate above recent peaks before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
7% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Feb 14, 2027
7% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Feb 14, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Canada’s unemployment rate has stabilized near 6.4% through August 2026 after reaching a post-pandemic high of 7.1% in late 2025, with monthly readings and annual forecasts for 2026 clustered between 6.4% and 6.9%. Recent Statistics Canada data show modest employment gains alongside a shrinking labor force due to lower immigration and population dynamics, keeping the rate below both 2025 levels and the elevated readings seen after 2016. Bank of Canada communications and private-sector outlooks point to gradual improvement in labor demand as GDP rebounds modestly, supporting the 93% market-implied probability that 2026 will not produce the highest rate since 2016. A sharper escalation in U.S. tariffs or unexpected contraction could still push the rate above recent peaks before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,582วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 15, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Canada’s unemployment rate has stabilized near 6.4% through August 2026 after reaching a post-pandemic high of 7.1% in late 2025, with monthly readings and annual forecasts for 2026 clustered between 6.4% and 6.9%. Recent Statistics Canada data show modest employment gains alongside a shrinking labor force due to lower immigration and population dynamics, keeping the rate below both 2025 levels and the elevated readings seen after 2016. Bank of Canada communications and private-sector outlooks point to gradual improvement in labor demand as GDP rebounds modestly, supporting the 93% market-implied probability that 2026 will not produce the highest rate since 2016. A sharper escalation in U.S. tariffs or unexpected contraction could still push the rate above recent peaks before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,582วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 15, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Canada’s unemployment rate has stabilized near 6.4% through August 2026 after reaching a post-pandemic high of 7.1% in late 2025, with monthly readings and annual forecasts for 2026 clustered between 6.4% and 6.9%. Recent Statistics Canada data show modest employment gains alongside a shrinking labor force due to lower immigration and population dynamics, keeping the rate below both 2025 levels and the elevated readings seen after 2016. Bank of Canada communications and private-sector outlooks point to gradual improvement in labor demand as GDP rebounds modestly, supporting the 93% market-implied probability that 2026 will not produce the highest rate since 2016. A sharper escalation in U.S. tariffs or unexpected contraction could still push the rate above recent peaks before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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