Trader sentiment on the June US monthly inflation rate shows closely matched probabilities across low-single-digit outcomes, with ≤0.1% at 46.5% and 0.2% at 41.0% leading a crowded field near 37-41%. This competitive dynamic arises from uncertainty over the balance between persistent shelter inflation and softening goods prices, alongside stable but not overheating labor conditions. Recent producer price and import data have offered limited directional clarity, leaving room for volatility in energy and food components to shift the print. Market-implied odds frame trader consensus around a subdued month-over-month gain, with upcoming retail sales and employment figures serving as key near-term catalysts ahead of the CPI release.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJune Inflation US - Monthly
≤0.1% 42%
≥0.9% 38%
0.7% 37%
0.8% 37%
≤0.1%
42%
0.2%
25%
0.3%
16%
0.4%
24%
0.5%
24%
0.6%
22%
0.7%
37%
0.8%
37%
≥0.9%
38%
≤0.1% 42%
≥0.9% 38%
0.7% 37%
0.8% 37%
≤0.1%
42%
0.2%
25%
0.3%
16%
0.4%
24%
0.5%
24%
0.6%
22%
0.7%
37%
0.8%
37%
≥0.9%
38%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 10, 2026, 11:39 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on the June US monthly inflation rate shows closely matched probabilities across low-single-digit outcomes, with ≤0.1% at 46.5% and 0.2% at 41.0% leading a crowded field near 37-41%. This competitive dynamic arises from uncertainty over the balance between persistent shelter inflation and softening goods prices, alongside stable but not overheating labor conditions. Recent producer price and import data have offered limited directional clarity, leaving room for volatility in energy and food components to shift the print. Market-implied odds frame trader consensus around a subdued month-over-month gain, with upcoming retail sales and employment figures serving as key near-term catalysts ahead of the CPI release.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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