Russian forces recaptured Kindrativka in Sumy Oblast on February 17, 2026, following Ukrainian liberation of the border village in July 2025 after earlier Russian seizure in June 2025. The settlement lies in a contested northern sector where Moscow has pursued cross-border operations from Kursk Oblast to establish buffer zones, drawing on concentrated troop deployments and supporting drone and artillery strikes. Ukrainian units, including elements of the Kursk grouping, have conducted localized counterattacks and stabilization efforts in the area, though the broader Sumy front has seen limited large-scale movement compared to intensified Russian pressure on Donetsk fortress-belt positions such as Kostiantynivka. Trader assessments of capture timelines reflect ongoing attritional dynamics, Ukrainian reinforcement capacity amid multi-front demands, and the pace of any renewed Russian pushes before winter conditions affect operations. No major verified shifts specific to Kindrativka have occurred in the past 30 days.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Russia capture Kindrativka by...?
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by...?
$65,230 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
19%
$65,230 ปริมาณ
September 30
$20,214 ปริมาณ
19%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 51.141847° N, 34.771637° E in Kindrativka, Sumy Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS.png
Intersection Location in Kindrativka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS2.png
Kindrativka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/BTC6vHHmyYcJ1WETA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces recaptured Kindrativka in Sumy Oblast on February 17, 2026, following Ukrainian liberation of the border village in July 2025 after earlier Russian seizure in June 2025. The settlement lies in a contested northern sector where Moscow has pursued cross-border operations from Kursk Oblast to establish buffer zones, drawing on concentrated troop deployments and supporting drone and artillery strikes. Ukrainian units, including elements of the Kursk grouping, have conducted localized counterattacks and stabilization efforts in the area, though the broader Sumy front has seen limited large-scale movement compared to intensified Russian pressure on Donetsk fortress-belt positions such as Kostiantynivka. Trader assessments of capture timelines reflect ongoing attritional dynamics, Ukrainian reinforcement capacity amid multi-front demands, and the pace of any renewed Russian pushes before winter conditions affect operations. No major verified shifts specific to Kindrativka have occurred in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 51.141847° N, 34.771637° E in Kindrativka, Sumy Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS.png
Intersection Location in Kindrativka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS2.png
Kindrativka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/BTC6vHHmyYcJ1WETA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS.png
Intersection Location in Kindrativka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS2.png
Kindrativka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/BTC6vHHmyYcJ1WETA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 24, 2026, 10:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,230วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 24, 2026, 10:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 51.141847° N, 34.771637° E in Kindrativka, Sumy Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS.png
Intersection Location in Kindrativka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS2.png
Kindrativka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/BTC6vHHmyYcJ1WETA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces recaptured Kindrativka in Sumy Oblast on February 17, 2026, following Ukrainian liberation of the border village in July 2025 after earlier Russian seizure in June 2025. The settlement lies in a contested northern sector where Moscow has pursued cross-border operations from Kursk Oblast to establish buffer zones, drawing on concentrated troop deployments and supporting drone and artillery strikes. Ukrainian units, including elements of the Kursk grouping, have conducted localized counterattacks and stabilization efforts in the area, though the broader Sumy front has seen limited large-scale movement compared to intensified Russian pressure on Donetsk fortress-belt positions such as Kostiantynivka. Trader assessments of capture timelines reflect ongoing attritional dynamics, Ukrainian reinforcement capacity amid multi-front demands, and the pace of any renewed Russian pushes before winter conditions affect operations. No major verified shifts specific to Kindrativka have occurred in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 51.141847° N, 34.771637° E in Kindrativka, Sumy Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS.png
Intersection Location in Kindrativka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS2.png
Kindrativka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/BTC6vHHmyYcJ1WETA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS.png
Intersection Location in Kindrativka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS2.png
Kindrativka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/KS3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/BTC6vHHmyYcJ1WETA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,230วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 24, 2026, 10:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces recaptured Kindrativka in Sumy Oblast on February 17, 2026, following Ukrainian liberation of the border village in July 2025 after earlier Russian seizure in June 2025. The settlement lies in a contested northern sector where Moscow has pursued cross-border operations from Kursk Oblast to establish buffer zones, drawing on concentrated troop deployments and supporting drone and artillery strikes. Ukrainian units, including elements of the Kursk grouping, have conducted localized counterattacks and stabilization efforts in the area, though the broader Sumy front has seen limited large-scale movement compared to intensified Russian pressure on Donetsk fortress-belt positions such as Kostiantynivka. Trader assessments of capture timelines reflect ongoing attritional dynamics, Ukrainian reinforcement capacity amid multi-front demands, and the pace of any renewed Russian pushes before winter conditions affect operations. No major verified shifts specific to Kindrativka have occurred in the past 30 days.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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