Argentina’s monthly inflation trajectory continues to reflect ongoing disinflation under current monetary policy, with the 2.2–2.4% range commanding 65.5% implied probability as traders price in a modest sequential slowdown from April’s 2.6% print. The May 7 central bank survey raised the full-year 2026 median forecast to 30.5%, highlighting upside risks from elevated energy costs and earlier-than-expected March momentum, yet monthly data show contained price pressures in food and services categories. Market-implied odds remain anchored near recent readings rather than reverting to higher base rates, with the next INDEC release expected to clarify whether the cooling pace persists through mid-year.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update2.2–2.4% 66%
≤2.1% 22%
2.5–2.7% 18%
3.4–3.6% 7%
$46,690 Vol.
$46,690 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
≤2.1%
22%
2.2–2.4%
66%
2.5–2.7%
18%
2.8–3.0%
7%
3.1–3.3%
6%
3.4–3.6%
7%
3.7–3.9%
5%
4.0%+
3%
2.2–2.4% 66%
≤2.1% 22%
2.5–2.7% 18%
3.4–3.6% 7%
$46,690 Vol.
$46,690 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
≤2.1%
$427 Vol.
22%
2.2–2.4%
$46,091 Vol.
66%
2.5–2.7%
$6 Vol.
18%
2.8–3.0%
$57 Vol.
7%
3.1–3.3%
$6 Vol.
6%
3.4–3.6%
$7 Vol.
7%
3.7–3.9%
$26 Vol.
5%
4.0%+
$70 Vol.
3%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s monthly inflation trajectory continues to reflect ongoing disinflation under current monetary policy, with the 2.2–2.4% range commanding 65.5% implied probability as traders price in a modest sequential slowdown from April’s 2.6% print. The May 7 central bank survey raised the full-year 2026 median forecast to 30.5%, highlighting upside risks from elevated energy costs and earlier-than-expected March momentum, yet monthly data show contained price pressures in food and services categories. Market-implied odds remain anchored near recent readings rather than reverting to higher base rates, with the next INDEC release expected to clarify whether the cooling pace persists through mid-year.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Volume
$46,690Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s monthly inflation trajectory continues to reflect ongoing disinflation under current monetary policy, with the 2.2–2.4% range commanding 65.5% implied probability as traders price in a modest sequential slowdown from April’s 2.6% print. The May 7 central bank survey raised the full-year 2026 median forecast to 30.5%, highlighting upside risks from elevated energy costs and earlier-than-expected March momentum, yet monthly data show contained price pressures in food and services categories. Market-implied odds remain anchored near recent readings rather than reverting to higher base rates, with the next INDEC release expected to clarify whether the cooling pace persists through mid-year.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$46,690Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina’s monthly inflation trajectory continues to reflect ongoing disinflation under current monetary policy, with the 2.2–2.4% range commanding 65.5% implied probability as traders price in a modest sequential slowdown from April’s 2.6% print. The May 7 central bank survey raised the full-year 2026 median forecast to 30.5%, highlighting upside risks from elevated energy costs and earlier-than-expected March momentum, yet monthly data show contained price pressures in food and services categories. Market-implied odds remain anchored near recent readings rather than reverting to higher base rates, with the next INDEC release expected to clarify whether the cooling pace persists through mid-year.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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