Argentina’s April consumer price index print of 2.6 percent—the first monthly deceleration in eleven months—has anchored trader expectations for continued disinflation into May, driving the 57 percent market-implied odds on the 2.2–2.4 percent band as the consensus outcome. Fiscal austerity under President Milei, lower core pressures, and the annual rate easing to 32.4 percent reinforce this trajectory, while the secondary 23 percent probability on ≤2.1 percent reflects scope for further moderation. With the May figure slated for release around June 11, participants are watching incoming wage negotiations and regulated-price adjustments for any late shifts that could alter the current pricing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update2.2–2.4% 76%
≤2.1% 29%
2.5–2.7% 22%
2.8–3.0% 12%
$46,634 Vol.
$46,634 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
≤2.1%
23%
2.2–2.4%
68%
2.5–2.7%
22%
2.8–3.0%
12%
3.1–3.3%
6%
3.4–3.6%
6%
3.7–3.9%
5%
4.0%+
3%
2.2–2.4% 76%
≤2.1% 29%
2.5–2.7% 22%
2.8–3.0% 12%
$46,634 Vol.
$46,634 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
≤2.1%
$415 Vol.
23%
2.2–2.4%
$46,084 Vol.
68%
2.5–2.7%
$0 Vol.
22%
2.8–3.0%
$50 Vol.
12%
3.1–3.3%
$0 Vol.
6%
3.4–3.6%
$1 Vol.
6%
3.7–3.9%
$20 Vol.
5%
4.0%+
$63 Vol.
3%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s April consumer price index print of 2.6 percent—the first monthly deceleration in eleven months—has anchored trader expectations for continued disinflation into May, driving the 57 percent market-implied odds on the 2.2–2.4 percent band as the consensus outcome. Fiscal austerity under President Milei, lower core pressures, and the annual rate easing to 32.4 percent reinforce this trajectory, while the secondary 23 percent probability on ≤2.1 percent reflects scope for further moderation. With the May figure slated for release around June 11, participants are watching incoming wage negotiations and regulated-price adjustments for any late shifts that could alter the current pricing.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Volume
$46,634Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s April consumer price index print of 2.6 percent—the first monthly deceleration in eleven months—has anchored trader expectations for continued disinflation into May, driving the 57 percent market-implied odds on the 2.2–2.4 percent band as the consensus outcome. Fiscal austerity under President Milei, lower core pressures, and the annual rate easing to 32.4 percent reinforce this trajectory, while the secondary 23 percent probability on ≤2.1 percent reflects scope for further moderation. With the May figure slated for release around June 11, participants are watching incoming wage negotiations and regulated-price adjustments for any late shifts that could alter the current pricing.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$46,634Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina’s April consumer price index print of 2.6 percent—the first monthly deceleration in eleven months—has anchored trader expectations for continued disinflation into May, driving the 57 percent market-implied odds on the 2.2–2.4 percent band as the consensus outcome. Fiscal austerity under President Milei, lower core pressures, and the annual rate easing to 32.4 percent reinforce this trajectory, while the secondary 23 percent probability on ≤2.1 percent reflects scope for further moderation. With the May figure slated for release around June 11, participants are watching incoming wage negotiations and regulated-price adjustments for any late shifts that could alter the current pricing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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