The Bank of Korea’s unanimous April hold at the 2.50% base rate amid Middle East geopolitical risks and balanced growth-inflation dynamics underpins the 97.0% market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting. Policymakers continue to monitor the pass-through from elevated oil prices into April CPI, which printed at 2.6% year-over-year and above the 2% target yet aligned with prior forecasts, while first-quarter GDP remained resilient near 1.7% on semiconductor exports. Recent hawkish comments from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai signaling a potential shift toward considering hikes have not altered trader consensus, given the institution’s explicit data-dependent stance and stable financial conditions. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly lift the slim probabilities of a hike before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateBank of Korea decision in May?
No Change 96.8%
Increase 2.9%
Decrease <1%
$104,152 Vol.
$104,152 Vol.
Decrease
<1%
No Change
97%
Increase
3%
No Change 96.8%
Increase 2.9%
Decrease <1%
$104,152 Vol.
$104,152 Vol.
Decrease
<1%
No Change
97%
Increase
3%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea’s unanimous April hold at the 2.50% base rate amid Middle East geopolitical risks and balanced growth-inflation dynamics underpins the 97.0% market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting. Policymakers continue to monitor the pass-through from elevated oil prices into April CPI, which printed at 2.6% year-over-year and above the 2% target yet aligned with prior forecasts, while first-quarter GDP remained resilient near 1.7% on semiconductor exports. Recent hawkish comments from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai signaling a potential shift toward considering hikes have not altered trader consensus, given the institution’s explicit data-dependent stance and stable financial conditions. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly lift the slim probabilities of a hike before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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