The Bank of Mexico’s May 7 decision to cut the policy rate 25 basis points to 6.50 percent, combined with explicit guidance that the easing cycle has concluded, anchors trader expectations for a hold at the June 25 meeting. Weak first-quarter GDP, easing headline and core inflation readings near 4.5 percent and 4.3 percent respectively, and lingering geopolitical and trade uncertainties have reinforced the board’s preference for stability at the current restrictive level. Market-implied odds above 90 percent for no change reflect this forward guidance and the absence of fresh data that would justify another move, though persistent inflation above the 3 percent target or a sharper-than-expected rebound in activity could still prompt a reassessment before the June resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateBank of Mexico Decision in June
Bank of Mexico Decision in June
No change 92.7%
Decrease 5.8%
Increase 3.4%
$10,987 Vol.
$10,987 Vol.
Jun 25, 2026
Decrease
6%
No change
93%
Increase
3%
No change 92.7%
Decrease 5.8%
Increase 3.4%
$10,987 Vol.
$10,987 Vol.
Jun 25, 2026
Decrease
$649 Vol.
6%
No change
$9,185 Vol.
93%
Increase
$1,153 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Mexico’s May 7 decision to cut the policy rate 25 basis points to 6.50 percent, combined with explicit guidance that the easing cycle has concluded, anchors trader expectations for a hold at the June 25 meeting. Weak first-quarter GDP, easing headline and core inflation readings near 4.5 percent and 4.3 percent respectively, and lingering geopolitical and trade uncertainties have reinforced the board’s preference for stability at the current restrictive level. Market-implied odds above 90 percent for no change reflect this forward guidance and the absence of fresh data that would justify another move, though persistent inflation above the 3 percent target or a sharper-than-expected rebound in activity could still prompt a reassessment before the June resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Binuksan ang Market: Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
Volume
$10,987Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 25, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Mexico’s May 7 decision to cut the policy rate 25 basis points to 6.50 percent, combined with explicit guidance that the easing cycle has concluded, anchors trader expectations for a hold at the June 25 meeting. Weak first-quarter GDP, easing headline and core inflation readings near 4.5 percent and 4.3 percent respectively, and lingering geopolitical and trade uncertainties have reinforced the board’s preference for stability at the current restrictive level. Market-implied odds above 90 percent for no change reflect this forward guidance and the absence of fresh data that would justify another move, though persistent inflation above the 3 percent target or a sharper-than-expected rebound in activity could still prompt a reassessment before the June resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$10,987Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 25, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Mexico’s May 7 decision to cut the policy rate 25 basis points to 6.50 percent, combined with explicit guidance that the easing cycle has concluded, anchors trader expectations for a hold at the June 25 meeting. Weak first-quarter GDP, easing headline and core inflation readings near 4.5 percent and 4.3 percent respectively, and lingering geopolitical and trade uncertainties have reinforced the board’s preference for stability at the current restrictive level. Market-implied odds above 90 percent for no change reflect this forward guidance and the absence of fresh data that would justify another move, though persistent inflation above the 3 percent target or a sharper-than-expected rebound in activity could still prompt a reassessment before the June resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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