Recent polling released August 15 showing Ryan Elijah leading incumbent Cory Mills 44-27 percent among likely Republican primary voters—with 19 percent undecided—has driven trader consensus toward Elijah at 66.5 percent for the August 18 contest in Florida’s 7th Congressional District. Elijah, a former local news anchor, has benefited from stronger recent fundraising and media visibility compared with Mills, whose campaign spending has lagged. The low single-digit implied probabilities for Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich align with limited polling support and name recognition. With the primary two days away and a sizable undecided share, outcomes remain sensitive to final turnout among Republican primary voters in the district.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFL-07 Republican Primary Winner
Ryan Elijah 67%
Cory Mills 26%
Mike Johnson <1%
Sarah Ulrich <1%
$35,202 Vol.
$35,202 Vol.

Ryan Elijah
67%

Cory Mills
26%

Mike Johnson
<1%

Sarah Ulrich
<1%
Ryan Elijah 67%
Cory Mills 26%
Mike Johnson <1%
Sarah Ulrich <1%
$35,202 Vol.
$35,202 Vol.

Ryan Elijah
67%

Cory Mills
26%

Mike Johnson
<1%

Sarah Ulrich
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 20, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling released August 15 showing Ryan Elijah leading incumbent Cory Mills 44-27 percent among likely Republican primary voters—with 19 percent undecided—has driven trader consensus toward Elijah at 66.5 percent for the August 18 contest in Florida’s 7th Congressional District. Elijah, a former local news anchor, has benefited from stronger recent fundraising and media visibility compared with Mills, whose campaign spending has lagged. The low single-digit implied probabilities for Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich align with limited polling support and name recognition. With the primary two days away and a sizable undecided share, outcomes remain sensitive to final turnout among Republican primary voters in the district.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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