Skip to main content
icon for FL-21 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Halalan Sa US

FL-21 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-21 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Halalan Sa US

FL-21 Democratic Primary Winner

Polymarket

$67,704 Vol.

Polymarket

$67,704 Vol.

James Martin

$34,432 Vol.

63%

Bernard Taylor

$33,272 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.James Martin holds a leading position in the FL-21 Democratic primary trader consensus ahead of the August 18 vote, reflecting his profile as a U.S. Coast Guard Reserve lieutenant commander and former White House national security official. Bernard Taylor, a Palm Beach County firefighter and paramedic, trails as the main challenger in a two-candidate field after others withdrew or failed to qualify. Recent local media interviews and voter guides have highlighted contrasts in their professional backgrounds and policy emphases on issues like cost of living and economic opportunity. With the primary imminent and limited fundraising data differentiating the contenders, trader positioning tracks the candidates' visibility and experience in this Republican-leaning district that includes parts of Palm Beach, Martin, and St. Lucie counties.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$67,704
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.James Martin holds a leading position in the FL-21 Democratic primary trader consensus ahead of the August 18 vote, reflecting his profile as a U.S. Coast Guard Reserve lieutenant commander and former White House national security official. Bernard Taylor, a Palm Beach County firefighter and paramedic, trails as the main challenger in a two-candidate field after others withdrew or failed to qualify. Recent local media interviews and voter guides have highlighted contrasts in their professional backgrounds and policy emphases on issues like cost of living and economic opportunity. With the primary imminent and limited fundraising data differentiating the contenders, trader positioning tracks the candidates' visibility and experience in this Republican-leaning district that includes parts of Palm Beach, Martin, and St. Lucie counties.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$67,704
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Kaugnay

icon for Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?

Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?

92%
icon for Will Eric Yonce be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?

Will Eric Yonce be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?

70%
icon for Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?

Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?

98%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "FL-21 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 2 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "James Martin" sa 63%, sinusundan ng "Bernard Taylor" sa 37%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 63¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 63% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "FL-21 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $67.7K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 26, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "FL-21 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 2 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "FL-21 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "James Martin" sa 63%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 63% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Bernard Taylor" sa 37%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "FL-21 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.