The November 2025 presidential election in Guinea-Bissau produced a narrow first-round result in which Fernando Dias da Costa captured the largest vote share, backed by the PAIGC after its own candidates were excluded from the ballot. Traders have priced this outcome highest because Dias consolidated opposition support in a field of twelve contenders while the incumbent sought a second term in a historically coup-prone environment. Subsequent military intervention, conflicting victory claims, and the resulting political transition have further elevated Dias's position relative to lower-polling candidates such as Siga Batista. The market reflects these verified vote patterns and institutional developments rather than later speculation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateGuinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Fernando Dias da Costa 49.1%
Siga Batista 39.8%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa 4.5%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló 2.8%
$311,938 Vol.
$311,938 Vol.
Nov 23, 2025
Fernando Dias da Costa
49%
Siga Batista
23%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
5%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
3%
Mário da Silva Júnior
2%
José Mário Vaz
2%
Honório Augusto Lopes
2%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
1%
João Bernardo Vieira
1%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
1%
João de Deus Mendes
1%
Baciro Djá
<1%
Fernando Dias da Costa 49.1%
Siga Batista 39.8%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa 4.5%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló 2.8%
$311,938 Vol.
$311,938 Vol.
Nov 23, 2025
Fernando Dias da Costa
$47,964 Vol.
49%
Siga Batista
$21,449 Vol.
23%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
$15,624 Vol.
5%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
$18,181 Vol.
3%
Mário da Silva Júnior
$17,967 Vol.
2%
José Mário Vaz
$21,417 Vol.
2%
Honório Augusto Lopes
$17,560 Vol.
2%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
$87,423 Vol.
1%
João Bernardo Vieira
$15,099 Vol.
1%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
$18,883 Vol.
1%
João de Deus Mendes
$16,238 Vol.
1%
Baciro Djá
$14,133 Vol.
<1%
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The November 2025 presidential election in Guinea-Bissau produced a narrow first-round result in which Fernando Dias da Costa captured the largest vote share, backed by the PAIGC after its own candidates were excluded from the ballot. Traders have priced this outcome highest because Dias consolidated opposition support in a field of twelve contenders while the incumbent sought a second term in a historically coup-prone environment. Subsequent military intervention, conflicting victory claims, and the resulting political transition have further elevated Dias's position relative to lower-polling candidates such as Siga Batista. The market reflects these verified vote patterns and institutional developments rather than later speculation.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET
Volume
$311,938Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 23, 2025Binuksan ang Market
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The November 2025 presidential election in Guinea-Bissau produced a narrow first-round result in which Fernando Dias da Costa captured the largest vote share, backed by the PAIGC after its own candidates were excluded from the ballot. Traders have priced this outcome highest because Dias consolidated opposition support in a field of twelve contenders while the incumbent sought a second term in a historically coup-prone environment. Subsequent military intervention, conflicting victory claims, and the resulting political transition have further elevated Dias's position relative to lower-polling candidates such as Siga Batista. The market reflects these verified vote patterns and institutional developments rather than later speculation.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Volume
$311,938Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 23, 2025Binuksan ang Market
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The November 2025 presidential election in Guinea-Bissau produced a narrow first-round result in which Fernando Dias da Costa captured the largest vote share, backed by the PAIGC after its own candidates were excluded from the ballot. Traders have priced this outcome highest because Dias consolidated opposition support in a field of twelve contenders while the incumbent sought a second term in a historically coup-prone environment. Subsequent military intervention, conflicting victory claims, and the resulting political transition have further elevated Dias's position relative to lower-polling candidates such as Siga Batista. The market reflects these verified vote patterns and institutional developments rather than later speculation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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