Forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 6 under mostly clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions typical of the region’s continental summer climate. Recent model runs show stable high-pressure influence with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping values close to seasonal averages near 32°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow gap between 32°C and 33°C resolutions, reflected in the combined 85.5% market-implied probability for those two outcomes, while lower odds on 34°C or higher align with limited intensification potential ahead of the resolution window. Updated forecast guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Ankara on August 6?
33°C 52%
32°C 34%
31°C 6%
34°C 5%
$10,179 Vol.
$10,179 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
34%
33°C
52%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 52%
32°C 34%
31°C 6%
34°C 5%
$10,179 Vol.
$10,179 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
34%
33°C
52%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 6 under mostly clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions typical of the region’s continental summer climate. Recent model runs show stable high-pressure influence with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping values close to seasonal averages near 32°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow gap between 32°C and 33°C resolutions, reflected in the combined 85.5% market-implied probability for those two outcomes, while lower odds on 34°C or higher align with limited intensification potential ahead of the resolution window. Updated forecast guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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