Current atmospheric conditions over Jakarta, situated in the Maritime Continent during the early dry-season transition, support a daily maximum of 32°C according to consensus from regional models and BMKG observations. Typical May climatology shows highs averaging 32–34°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity that limits extreme solar heating, while afternoon convection often caps further rises. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects this alignment with historical baselines and recent neutral-to-weak La Niña patterns that maintain near-average temperatures without strong intensification. A sudden shift to prolonged clear skies or reduced moisture could realistically push readings to 33–34°C, though model ensembles indicate low probability of such deviation before evening cooling sets in.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 17?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$74,303 Vol.
$74,303 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$74,303 Vol.
$74,303 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHCurrent atmospheric conditions over Jakarta, situated in the Maritime Continent during the early dry-season transition, support a daily maximum of 32°C according to consensus from regional models and BMKG observations. Typical May climatology shows highs averaging 32–34°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity that limits extreme solar heating, while afternoon convection often caps further rises. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects this alignment with historical baselines and recent neutral-to-weak La Niña patterns that maintain near-average temperatures without strong intensification. A sudden shift to prolonged clear skies or reduced moisture could realistically push readings to 33–34°C, though model ensembles indicate low probability of such deviation before evening cooling sets in.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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