**Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and models like those referenced by WeatherBug point to a maximum temperature near 34°C in Lucknow on September 22, aligning with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome.** As of September 20, daytime highs have reached 33–35°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and moderate humidity (around 50–70%), following scattered rainfall on September 19 that provided temporary relief but did not alter the broader warming trend. Monsoon withdrawal from western regions is reducing cloud cover and rainfall chances (forecast at 25–30% with only isolated thunderstorms), allowing greater solar heating during peak hours. Historical September averages for Lucknow hover near 33–34°C, and current conditions match this baseline without strong cooling influences like widespread convection or shifts in steering winds. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through the 22nd, with any light precipitation unlikely to suppress the daily maximum below 33°C or push it to 36°C or higher. Upcoming IMD updates and short-range model runs will be the key catalysts for any probability shifts in this narrow temperature window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 22?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 22?
34°C 50%
33°C 30%
35°C 17%
31°C 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 22, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
8%
33°C
30%
34°C
50%
35°C
17%
36°C
7%
37°C
9%
38°C or higher
8%
34°C 50%
33°C 30%
35°C 17%
31°C 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 22, 2026
28°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
9%
32°C
$12 Vol.
8%
33°C
$320 Vol.
30%
34°C
$166 Vol.
50%
35°C
$12 Vol.
17%
36°C
$12 Vol.
7%
37°C
$0 Vol.
9%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and models like those referenced by WeatherBug point to a maximum temperature near 34°C in Lucknow on September 22, aligning with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome.**
As of September 20, daytime highs have reached 33–35°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and moderate humidity (around 50–70%), following scattered rainfall on September 19 that provided temporary relief but did not alter the broader warming trend. Monsoon withdrawal from western regions is reducing cloud cover and rainfall chances (forecast at 25–30% with only isolated thunderstorms), allowing greater solar heating during peak hours.
Historical September averages for Lucknow hover near 33–34°C, and current conditions match this baseline without strong cooling influences like widespread convection or shifts in steering winds. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through the 22nd, with any light precipitation unlikely to suppress the daily maximum below 33°C or push it to 36°C or higher. Upcoming IMD updates and short-range model runs will be the key catalysts for any probability shifts in this narrow temperature window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$532Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and models like those referenced by WeatherBug point to a maximum temperature near 34°C in Lucknow on September 22, aligning with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome.**
As of September 20, daytime highs have reached 33–35°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and moderate humidity (around 50–70%), following scattered rainfall on September 19 that provided temporary relief but did not alter the broader warming trend. Monsoon withdrawal from western regions is reducing cloud cover and rainfall chances (forecast at 25–30% with only isolated thunderstorms), allowing greater solar heating during peak hours.
Historical September averages for Lucknow hover near 33–34°C, and current conditions match this baseline without strong cooling influences like widespread convection or shifts in steering winds. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through the 22nd, with any light precipitation unlikely to suppress the daily maximum below 33°C or push it to 36°C or higher. Upcoming IMD updates and short-range model runs will be the key catalysts for any probability shifts in this narrow temperature window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$532Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and models like those referenced by WeatherBug point to a maximum temperature near 34°C in Lucknow on September 22, aligning with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome.** As of September 20, daytime highs have reached 33–35°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and moderate humidity (around 50–70%), following scattered rainfall on September 19 that provided temporary relief but did not alter the broader warming trend. Monsoon withdrawal from western regions is reducing cloud cover and rainfall chances (forecast at 25–30% with only isolated thunderstorms), allowing greater solar heating during peak hours. Historical September averages for Lucknow hover near 33–34°C, and current conditions match this baseline without strong cooling influences like widespread convection or shifts in steering winds. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through the 22nd, with any light precipitation unlikely to suppress the daily maximum below 33°C or push it to 36°C or higher. Upcoming IMD updates and short-range model runs will be the key catalysts for any probability shifts in this narrow temperature window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong