Trader sentiment heavily favors a 28°C high in Manila on August 5 due to active southwest monsoon enhancement and nearby tropical cyclone influences, which are delivering widespread cloud cover, scattered to moderate rains, and thunderstorms across Metro Manila. PAGASA forecasts reflect this pattern with daytime maxima of 30–31°C tempered by persistent overcast conditions and precipitation that limit solar heating and surface warming. Historical analogs for similar monsoon setups show maximum temperatures frequently suppressed into the upper 20s Celsius at official stations. A shift to clearer skies or lighter rainfall during peak heating hours could allow readings to reach 29°C, while stronger convective activity or earlier heavy downpours would reinforce the current market-implied outcome. Updated PAGASA guidance and real-time observations will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Manila on August 5?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 5?
28°C 90%
29°C 5%
30°C 2%
31°C <1%
$19,018 Vol.
$19,018 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
90%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 90%
29°C 5%
30°C 2%
31°C <1%
$19,018 Vol.
$19,018 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
$938 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$434 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$440 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,625 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,596 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,625 Vol.
90%
29°C
$3,755 Vol.
5%
30°C
$2,452 Vol.
2%
31°C
$2,184 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$1,702 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment heavily favors a 28°C high in Manila on August 5 due to active southwest monsoon enhancement and nearby tropical cyclone influences, which are delivering widespread cloud cover, scattered to moderate rains, and thunderstorms across Metro Manila. PAGASA forecasts reflect this pattern with daytime maxima of 30–31°C tempered by persistent overcast conditions and precipitation that limit solar heating and surface warming. Historical analogs for similar monsoon setups show maximum temperatures frequently suppressed into the upper 20s Celsius at official stations. A shift to clearer skies or lighter rainfall during peak heating hours could allow readings to reach 29°C, while stronger convective activity or earlier heavy downpours would reinforce the current market-implied outcome. Updated PAGASA guidance and real-time observations will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$19,018Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment heavily favors a 28°C high in Manila on August 5 due to active southwest monsoon enhancement and nearby tropical cyclone influences, which are delivering widespread cloud cover, scattered to moderate rains, and thunderstorms across Metro Manila. PAGASA forecasts reflect this pattern with daytime maxima of 30–31°C tempered by persistent overcast conditions and precipitation that limit solar heating and surface warming. Historical analogs for similar monsoon setups show maximum temperatures frequently suppressed into the upper 20s Celsius at official stations. A shift to clearer skies or lighter rainfall during peak heating hours could allow readings to reach 29°C, while stronger convective activity or earlier heavy downpours would reinforce the current market-implied outcome. Updated PAGASA guidance and real-time observations will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,018Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment heavily favors a 28°C high in Manila on August 5 due to active southwest monsoon enhancement and nearby tropical cyclone influences, which are delivering widespread cloud cover, scattered to moderate rains, and thunderstorms across Metro Manila. PAGASA forecasts reflect this pattern with daytime maxima of 30–31°C tempered by persistent overcast conditions and precipitation that limit solar heating and surface warming. Historical analogs for similar monsoon setups show maximum temperatures frequently suppressed into the upper 20s Celsius at official stations. A shift to clearer skies or lighter rainfall during peak heating hours could allow readings to reach 29°C, while stronger convective activity or earlier heavy downpours would reinforce the current market-implied outcome. Updated PAGASA guidance and real-time observations will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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