Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) for Metro Manila on June 14 project daytime highs of 32–34°C amid typical southwest monsoon conditions and a 40% rain chance, aligning with historical June averages near 32°C. Multiple meteorological models converge on this range, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns without significant heat-wave drivers or clear-sky intensification. Traders assign 99.9% implied probability to 32°C because ongoing observations and ensemble guidance show minimal deviation risk by market resolution. A realistic challenge would require unforecasted subsidence or delayed cloud cover pushing readings to 34°C or higher, though current data indicate low likelihood of such shifts before final readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Manila on June 14?
32°C 99.9%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$24,203 Vol.
$24,203 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.9%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$24,203 Vol.
$24,203 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) for Metro Manila on June 14 project daytime highs of 32–34°C amid typical southwest monsoon conditions and a 40% rain chance, aligning with historical June averages near 32°C. Multiple meteorological models converge on this range, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns without significant heat-wave drivers or clear-sky intensification. Traders assign 99.9% implied probability to 32°C because ongoing observations and ensemble guidance show minimal deviation risk by market resolution. A realistic challenge would require unforecasted subsidence or delayed cloud cover pushing readings to 34°C or higher, though current data indicate low likelihood of such shifts before final readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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