Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to clear skies, light northeast winds, and dry high-pressure conditions favoring a Paris high of 24–25°C on September 22, well above the 1991–2020 average of 20.6°C. Official guidance shows minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, with afternoon peaks most likely near 24°C and only modest potential to reach 25°C under optimal insolation. This atmospheric setup explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C (65.5%) and 25°C (30.5%), as traders align with the narrow, stable temperature range projected by current runs. Updated model outputs and any last-minute shifts in ridge positioning will be the key near-term variables.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Paris on September 22?
24°C 66%
25°C 31%
26°C 4%
23°C 3%
$10,134 Vol.
$10,134 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
66%
25°C
31%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 66%
25°C 31%
26°C 4%
23°C 3%
$10,134 Vol.
$10,134 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
66%
25°C
31%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to clear skies, light northeast winds, and dry high-pressure conditions favoring a Paris high of 24–25°C on September 22, well above the 1991–2020 average of 20.6°C. Official guidance shows minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, with afternoon peaks most likely near 24°C and only modest potential to reach 25°C under optimal insolation. This atmospheric setup explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C (65.5%) and 25°C (30.5%), as traders align with the narrow, stable temperature range projected by current runs. Updated model outputs and any last-minute shifts in ridge positioning will be the key near-term variables.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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