Latest ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models point to peak daytime heating in Qingdao driven by a strengthening subtropical high, southerly flow of warm, moist air, and mostly clear skies maximizing solar insolation on August 6. These conditions support market-implied odds clustering around 35–37 °C, with 36 °C slightly favored as the consensus maximum. Small differences among leading outcomes reflect modest variations in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and wind speeds that could trim or enhance the afternoon high by 1 °C. Historical August maxima near 30 °C provide context, yet current atmospheric setup favors above-normal readings. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the precise daily high.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 6?
36°C 33%
37°C 28%
38°C or higher 18%
35°C 17%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
17%
36°C
33%
37°C
28%
38°C or higher
18%
36°C 33%
37°C 28%
38°C or higher 18%
35°C 17%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
17%
36°C
33%
37°C
28%
38°C or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models point to peak daytime heating in Qingdao driven by a strengthening subtropical high, southerly flow of warm, moist air, and mostly clear skies maximizing solar insolation on August 6. These conditions support market-implied odds clustering around 35–37 °C, with 36 °C slightly favored as the consensus maximum. Small differences among leading outcomes reflect modest variations in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and wind speeds that could trim or enhance the afternoon high by 1 °C. Historical August maxima near 30 °C provide context, yet current atmospheric setup favors above-normal readings. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the precise daily high.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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