Current short-term forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daytime high near 28–29°C for Tokyo on August 13, supported by persistent influence from an above-normal Pacific High that has produced seasonal temperatures exceeding long-term averages. Daily variability stems from cloud cover, potential afternoon showers, and urban heat island effects, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C from guidance. Historical August baselines hover around 31°C, yet recent model runs show modest cooling relative to mid-summer peaks, keeping probabilities tightly clustered among 27–29°C outcomes. Updated JMA guidance and observational data ahead of the peak heating period will likely refine trader positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 13?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 13?
28°C 34%
29°C 26%
27°C 22%
30°C 11%
BAGO
$13,538 Vol.
BAGO
$13,538 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
22%
28°C
34%
29°C
26%
30°C
11%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 34%
29°C 26%
27°C 22%
30°C 11%
BAGO
$13,538 Vol.
BAGO
$13,538 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
$632 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$463 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$576 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,441 Vol.
7%
27°C
$1,687 Vol.
22%
28°C
$1,938 Vol.
34%
29°C
$1,579 Vol.
26%
30°C
$840 Vol.
11%
31°C
$1,038 Vol.
5%
32°C
$1,170 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$2,174 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daytime high near 28–29°C for Tokyo on August 13, supported by persistent influence from an above-normal Pacific High that has produced seasonal temperatures exceeding long-term averages. Daily variability stems from cloud cover, potential afternoon showers, and urban heat island effects, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C from guidance. Historical August baselines hover around 31°C, yet recent model runs show modest cooling relative to mid-summer peaks, keeping probabilities tightly clustered among 27–29°C outcomes. Updated JMA guidance and observational data ahead of the peak heating period will likely refine trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$13,538Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daytime high near 28–29°C for Tokyo on August 13, supported by persistent influence from an above-normal Pacific High that has produced seasonal temperatures exceeding long-term averages. Daily variability stems from cloud cover, potential afternoon showers, and urban heat island effects, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C from guidance. Historical August baselines hover around 31°C, yet recent model runs show modest cooling relative to mid-summer peaks, keeping probabilities tightly clustered among 27–29°C outcomes. Updated JMA guidance and observational data ahead of the peak heating period will likely refine trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,538Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daytime high near 28–29°C for Tokyo on August 13, supported by persistent influence from an above-normal Pacific High that has produced seasonal temperatures exceeding long-term averages. Daily variability stems from cloud cover, potential afternoon showers, and urban heat island effects, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C from guidance. Historical August baselines hover around 31°C, yet recent model runs show modest cooling relative to mid-summer peaks, keeping probabilities tightly clustered among 27–29°C outcomes. Updated JMA guidance and observational data ahead of the peak heating period will likely refine trader positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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