**Latest official guidance from Environment Canada points to a daytime high of 24°C under a mix of sun and cloud for Toronto on August 25, 2026, establishing the primary driver behind the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability.** Numerical weather models and short-range forecasts released in the past 24–48 hours reinforce this range, with 25°C (29.5%) reflecting minor upside uncertainty from variable cloud timing or reduced shower activity. Late-August climatology in the region shows average highs near 24–25°C, with decreasing solar insolation and potential lake-breeze moderation from Lake Ontario limiting extremes. A 30% chance of showers noted in guidance introduces downside risk toward 23°C (11.5%), while stronger clearing would favor the higher end. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, aggregates these forecast variables into the current distribution ahead of final observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Toronto on August 25?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 25?
24°C 50%
25°C 30%
23°C 12%
26°C 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 25, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
12%
24°C
50%
25°C
30%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 50%
25°C 30%
23°C 12%
26°C 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 25, 2026
19°C or below
$305 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$280 Vol.
1%
21°C
$61 Vol.
1%
22°C
$229 Vol.
2%
23°C
$504 Vol.
12%
24°C
$749 Vol.
50%
25°C
$164 Vol.
30%
26°C
$109 Vol.
6%
27°C
$81 Vol.
1%
28°C
$124 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$180 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official guidance from Environment Canada points to a daytime high of 24°C under a mix of sun and cloud for Toronto on August 25, 2026, establishing the primary driver behind the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability.** Numerical weather models and short-range forecasts released in the past 24–48 hours reinforce this range, with 25°C (29.5%) reflecting minor upside uncertainty from variable cloud timing or reduced shower activity. Late-August climatology in the region shows average highs near 24–25°C, with decreasing solar insolation and potential lake-breeze moderation from Lake Ontario limiting extremes. A 30% chance of showers noted in guidance introduces downside risk toward 23°C (11.5%), while stronger clearing would favor the higher end. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, aggregates these forecast variables into the current distribution ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,787Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 25, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official guidance from Environment Canada points to a daytime high of 24°C under a mix of sun and cloud for Toronto on August 25, 2026, establishing the primary driver behind the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability.** Numerical weather models and short-range forecasts released in the past 24–48 hours reinforce this range, with 25°C (29.5%) reflecting minor upside uncertainty from variable cloud timing or reduced shower activity. Late-August climatology in the region shows average highs near 24–25°C, with decreasing solar insolation and potential lake-breeze moderation from Lake Ontario limiting extremes. A 30% chance of showers noted in guidance introduces downside risk toward 23°C (11.5%), while stronger clearing would favor the higher end. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, aggregates these forecast variables into the current distribution ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,787Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 25, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest official guidance from Environment Canada points to a daytime high of 24°C under a mix of sun and cloud for Toronto on August 25, 2026, establishing the primary driver behind the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability.** Numerical weather models and short-range forecasts released in the past 24–48 hours reinforce this range, with 25°C (29.5%) reflecting minor upside uncertainty from variable cloud timing or reduced shower activity. Late-August climatology in the region shows average highs near 24–25°C, with decreasing solar insolation and potential lake-breeze moderation from Lake Ontario limiting extremes. A 30% chance of showers noted in guidance introduces downside risk toward 23°C (11.5%), while stronger clearing would favor the higher end. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, aggregates these forecast variables into the current distribution ahead of final observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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