Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, marked by gaps over permanent enrichment limits versus Iran's asserted right to a civilian program, underpin the near-even odds. Recent May 2026 talks produced tentative steps on disposing of highly enriched uranium stockpiles and reopening the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for sanctions relief, yet Iranian officials rejected full handover commitments and US calls for zero enrichment, deferring core issues to a follow-on phase. Both sides face incentives to reach interim accords before the July 31 deadline, tempered by domestic pressures, verification disputes, and historical mistrust. A verified diplomatic breakthrough on enrichment caps or IAEA-monitored dilution could shift sentiment toward Yes, while stalled talks, renewed hardline statements from Tehran, or US insistence on facility dismantlement would reinforce No.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
$44,138 Vol.
$44,138 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
$44,138 Vol.
$44,138 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, marked by gaps over permanent enrichment limits versus Iran's asserted right to a civilian program, underpin the near-even odds. Recent May 2026 talks produced tentative steps on disposing of highly enriched uranium stockpiles and reopening the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for sanctions relief, yet Iranian officials rejected full handover commitments and US calls for zero enrichment, deferring core issues to a follow-on phase. Both sides face incentives to reach interim accords before the July 31 deadline, tempered by domestic pressures, verification disputes, and historical mistrust. A verified diplomatic breakthrough on enrichment caps or IAEA-monitored dilution could shift sentiment toward Yes, while stalled talks, renewed hardline statements from Tehran, or US insistence on facility dismantlement would reinforce No.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$44,138Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, marked by gaps over permanent enrichment limits versus Iran's asserted right to a civilian program, underpin the near-even odds. Recent May 2026 talks produced tentative steps on disposing of highly enriched uranium stockpiles and reopening the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for sanctions relief, yet Iranian officials rejected full handover commitments and US calls for zero enrichment, deferring core issues to a follow-on phase. Both sides face incentives to reach interim accords before the July 31 deadline, tempered by domestic pressures, verification disputes, and historical mistrust. A verified diplomatic breakthrough on enrichment caps or IAEA-monitored dilution could shift sentiment toward Yes, while stalled talks, renewed hardline statements from Tehran, or US insistence on facility dismantlement would reinforce No.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$44,138Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, marked by gaps over permanent enrichment limits versus Iran's asserted right to a civilian program, underpin the near-even odds. Recent May 2026 talks produced tentative steps on disposing of highly enriched uranium stockpiles and reopening the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for sanctions relief, yet Iranian officials rejected full handover commitments and US calls for zero enrichment, deferring core issues to a follow-on phase. Both sides face incentives to reach interim accords before the July 31 deadline, tempered by domestic pressures, verification disputes, and historical mistrust. A verified diplomatic breakthrough on enrichment caps or IAEA-monitored dilution could shift sentiment toward Yes, while stalled talks, renewed hardline statements from Tehran, or US insistence on facility dismantlement would reinforce No.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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