Recent polling has kept The Democrats party vote share tightly clustered in the 6–9% range ahead of Israel’s October 27 legislative election, reflecting a fragmented opposition landscape and competition from other center-left and anti-Netanyahu blocs such as Together and Yashar. The party’s July primary produced a high-turnout slate led by Yair Golan, consolidating Labor-Meretz support, yet broader surveys show modest gains offset by vote splitting among similar lists. Security developments, turnout patterns among key demographics, and final coalition positioning in the remaining weeks could still shift results within or beyond the current narrow band reflected in trader pricing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update9%+ 45%
6-7% 44%
8-9% 44%
<6% 43%
<6%
43%
6-7%
44%
7-8%
42%
8-9%
44%
9%+
45%
9%+ 45%
6-7% 44%
8-9% 44%
<6% 43%
<6%
43%
6-7%
44%
7-8%
42%
8-9%
44%
9%+
45%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Resolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling has kept The Democrats party vote share tightly clustered in the 6–9% range ahead of Israel’s October 27 legislative election, reflecting a fragmented opposition landscape and competition from other center-left and anti-Netanyahu blocs such as Together and Yashar. The party’s July primary produced a high-turnout slate led by Yair Golan, consolidating Labor-Meretz support, yet broader surveys show modest gains offset by vote splitting among similar lists. Security developments, turnout patterns among key demographics, and final coalition positioning in the remaining weeks could still shift results within or beyond the current narrow band reflected in trader pricing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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