Skip to main content
icon for Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·International Election Props

Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·International Election Props

Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Claude Villeneuve 29%

Nathalie St-Pierre 29%

Sol Zanetti 28%

Gertrude Bourdon 24%

Polymarket
BAGO

Claude Villeneuve 29%

Nathalie St-Pierre 29%

Sol Zanetti 28%

Gertrude Bourdon 24%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Claude Villeneuve

Claude Villeneuve

$0 Vol.

29%

icon for Nathalie St-Pierre

Nathalie St-Pierre

$0 Vol.

29%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Gertrude Bourdon

Gertrude Bourdon

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Nancy Joannette

Nancy Joannette

$0 Vol.

19%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Jean-Lesage riding in Quebec City remains a tight contest ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with trader consensus reflecting a toss-up driven by the late-August nomination of Parti québécois candidate Claude Villeneuve to challenge incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire. Villeneuve, a former municipal opposition leader with prior PQ experience, has framed the race around local effectiveness and ideas, while Zanetti benefits from incumbency and the riding's 2022 QS plurality. Projections from models updated August 30 show QS and PQ separated by narrow margins in popular vote estimates, with other candidates from the CAQ, Liberals, and Conservatives trailing. The campaign's early stage, limited polling specific to the district, and split opposition votes sustain the uncertainty reflected in current market pricing.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Jean-Lesage riding in Quebec City remains a tight contest ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with trader consensus reflecting a toss-up driven by the late-August nomination of Parti québécois candidate Claude Villeneuve to challenge incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire. Villeneuve, a former municipal opposition leader with prior PQ experience, has framed the race around local effectiveness and ideas, while Zanetti benefits from incumbency and the riding's 2022 QS plurality. Projections from models updated August 30 show QS and PQ separated by narrow margins in popular vote estimates, with other candidates from the CAQ, Liberals, and Conservatives trailing. The campaign's early stage, limited polling specific to the district, and split opposition votes sustain the uncertainty reflected in current market pricing.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Kaugnay

icon for Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?

45%
icon for Will Kelly Lazo de la Vega win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Kelly Lazo de la Vega win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?

45%
icon for Will Maude Brossard-Sabourin win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Maude Brossard-Sabourin win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?

30%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Claude Villeneuve" sa 29%, sinusundan ng "Nathalie St-Pierre" sa 28%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 29¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 29% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 31, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay "Claude Villeneuve" sa 29%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 29% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Nathalie St-Pierre" sa 28%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.