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icon for Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Maude Brossard-Sabourin 46%

Alexandre Leduc 45%

Elena Penta 3.6%

Janny Gaspard 1.6%

Polymarket
BAGO

Maude Brossard-Sabourin 46%

Alexandre Leduc 45%

Elena Penta 3.6%

Janny Gaspard 1.6%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Maude Brossard-Sabourin

Maude Brossard-Sabourin

$411 Vol.

46%

icon for Alexandre Leduc

Alexandre Leduc

$597 Vol.

45%

icon for Elena Penta

Elena Penta

$198 Vol.

4%

icon for Janny Gaspard

Janny Gaspard

$327 Vol.

2%

icon for Béatrice Hodonou

Béatrice Hodonou

$628 Vol.

1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Hochelaga-Maisonneuve riding features a tight contest between incumbent Alexandre Leduc of Québec solidaire and Maude Brossard-Sabourin of the Parti québécois, with trader consensus reflecting their near-even implied probabilities. Leduc, first elected in 2018, benefits from the riding's strong QS performance in 2022 on the prior boundaries, while Brossard-Sabourin, a local resident and social economy executive, brings PQ emphasis on community issues and economic solidarity. Recent 338Canada projections label the seat a PQ/QS toss-up amid the broader October 5, 2026 general election campaign. Factors that could separate the contenders include turnout among progressive voters, party momentum in Montreal ridings, and any late shifts in provincial polling before the September 17 nomination deadline. Other candidates from the Liberals, CAQ, and Conservatives trail significantly.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$2,160
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Hochelaga-Maisonneuve riding features a tight contest between incumbent Alexandre Leduc of Québec solidaire and Maude Brossard-Sabourin of the Parti québécois, with trader consensus reflecting their near-even implied probabilities. Leduc, first elected in 2018, benefits from the riding's strong QS performance in 2022 on the prior boundaries, while Brossard-Sabourin, a local resident and social economy executive, brings PQ emphasis on community issues and economic solidarity. Recent 338Canada projections label the seat a PQ/QS toss-up amid the broader October 5, 2026 general election campaign. Factors that could separate the contenders include turnout among progressive voters, party momentum in Montreal ridings, and any late shifts in provincial polling before the September 17 nomination deadline. Other candidates from the Liberals, CAQ, and Conservatives trail significantly.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$2,160
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Maude Brossard-Sabourin" sa 46%, sinusundan ng "Alexandre Leduc" sa 45%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 46¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 46% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 31, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay "Maude Brossard-Sabourin" sa 46%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 46% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Alexandre Leduc" sa 45%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.