Recent model guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicates a minimum temperature in Busan on August 25 most likely between 24–26°C, aligning with market-implied probabilities clustered around those thresholds. Persistent influence from the North Pacific High supports partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting nocturnal cooling over the coastal urban heat island while sea surface temperatures near 26–28°C moderate extremes. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 23–25°C, with current conditions lacking strong frontal passages or typhoon activity that could shift outcomes. Traders appear to weigh slight model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, which differentiate the 24°C versus 26°C scenarios, ahead of the next updated forecast runs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Busan on August 25?
26°C 41%
25°C 34%
24°C 34%
27°C 34%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
32%
24°C
34%
25°C
34%
26°C
41%
27°C
34%
28°C
33%
29°C
21%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 41%
25°C 34%
24°C 34%
27°C 34%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
32%
24°C
34%
25°C
34%
26°C
41%
27°C
34%
28°C
33%
29°C
21%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicates a minimum temperature in Busan on August 25 most likely between 24–26°C, aligning with market-implied probabilities clustered around those thresholds. Persistent influence from the North Pacific High supports partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting nocturnal cooling over the coastal urban heat island while sea surface temperatures near 26–28°C moderate extremes. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 23–25°C, with current conditions lacking strong frontal passages or typhoon activity that could shift outcomes. Traders appear to weigh slight model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, which differentiate the 24°C versus 26°C scenarios, ahead of the next updated forecast runs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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