Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily minimum near 27°C for August 5 under mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers and light winds from a warm, humid maritime air mass. This aligns with typical August climatology, where overnight lows average 26–28°C amid persistent summer warmth and high humidity, supporting the market's strong 97% implied probability for that threshold. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no significant frontal systems or typhoon influences expected to alter the pattern. A sudden shift to stronger onshore winds or prolonged heavy rainfall could introduce minor cooling, though current observations and guidance make deviations below 26°C unlikely before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 5?
27°C 97%
26°C 3%
25°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
$37,510 Vol.
$37,510 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
97%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 97%
26°C 3%
25°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
$37,510 Vol.
$37,510 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
97%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily minimum near 27°C for August 5 under mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers and light winds from a warm, humid maritime air mass. This aligns with typical August climatology, where overnight lows average 26–28°C amid persistent summer warmth and high humidity, supporting the market's strong 97% implied probability for that threshold. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no significant frontal systems or typhoon influences expected to alter the pattern. A sudden shift to stronger onshore winds or prolonged heavy rainfall could introduce minor cooling, though current observations and guidance make deviations below 26°C unlikely before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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