**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements record a minimum of 26°C on June 14, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus at 99.9% implied probability.** Typical June subtropical conditions feature overnight lows near 26–28°C amid high humidity and cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling, while light northeasterly winds and 80–95% relative humidity support gradual temperature drops without sharp nocturnal plunges. Multiple forecasts from AccuWeather and the Observatory align on a 26°C low paired with daytime highs near 29–30°C under cloudy skies and scattered showers. This outcome matches historical June baselines and current model consensus. The primary risk of deviation would require an unexpected late-night wind shift or clearing that allows extra cooling below 26°C, but observed conditions and real-time data have ruled this out.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?
26°C 99.8%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$78,606 Vol.
$78,606 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$78,606 Vol.
$78,606 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements record a minimum of 26°C on June 14, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus at 99.9% implied probability.** Typical June subtropical conditions feature overnight lows near 26–28°C amid high humidity and cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling, while light northeasterly winds and 80–95% relative humidity support gradual temperature drops without sharp nocturnal plunges. Multiple forecasts from AccuWeather and the Observatory align on a 26°C low paired with daytime highs near 29–30°C under cloudy skies and scattered showers. This outcome matches historical June baselines and current model consensus. The primary risk of deviation would require an unexpected late-night wind shift or clearing that allows extra cooling below 26°C, but observed conditions and real-time data have ruled this out.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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