Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a 25°C daily minimum on May 15 under a stable subtropical ridge and light overnight winds that limited radiational cooling. These conditions produced typical May nighttime temperatures without the clear skies or calm air needed for greater heat loss, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the exact 25°C outcome. Historical May lows in Hong Kong cluster between 23°C and 27°C depending on monsoon timing and cloud cover, providing climatological support for this result. A realistic shift toward 24°C would have required improbable pre-dawn clearing and reduced humidity, factors absent from the verified data.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$65,353 Vol.
$65,353 Vol.
May 15, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$65,353 Vol.
$65,353 Vol.
May 15, 2026
18°C or below
$2,543 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,325 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,408 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,288 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,899 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,213 Vol.
No
24°C
$12,500 Vol.
No
25°C
$9,293 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$12,095 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,536 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$4,253 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a 25°C daily minimum on May 15 under a stable subtropical ridge and light overnight winds that limited radiational cooling. These conditions produced typical May nighttime temperatures without the clear skies or calm air needed for greater heat loss, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the exact 25°C outcome. Historical May lows in Hong Kong cluster between 23°C and 27°C depending on monsoon timing and cloud cover, providing climatological support for this result. A realistic shift toward 24°C would have required improbable pre-dawn clearing and reduced humidity, factors absent from the verified data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Volume
$65,353Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a 25°C daily minimum on May 15 under a stable subtropical ridge and light overnight winds that limited radiational cooling. These conditions produced typical May nighttime temperatures without the clear skies or calm air needed for greater heat loss, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the exact 25°C outcome. Historical May lows in Hong Kong cluster between 23°C and 27°C depending on monsoon timing and cloud cover, providing climatological support for this result. A realistic shift toward 24°C would have required improbable pre-dawn clearing and reduced humidity, factors absent from the verified data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$65,353Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a 25°C daily minimum on May 15 under a stable subtropical ridge and light overnight winds that limited radiational cooling. These conditions produced typical May nighttime temperatures without the clear skies or calm air needed for greater heat loss, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the exact 25°C outcome. Historical May lows in Hong Kong cluster between 23°C and 27°C depending on monsoon timing and cloud cover, providing climatological support for this result. A realistic shift toward 24°C would have required improbable pre-dawn clearing and reduced humidity, factors absent from the verified data.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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