Trader consensus for the lowest temperature in Karachi on September 22 shows closely matched implied probabilities between warmer outcomes above 33°C and cooler readings at or below 23°C, with 27°C holding notable support. Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models indicate a minimum near 27–28°C under clear skies, moderate westerly winds, and high humidity from ongoing sea-breeze circulation. These conditions limit overnight radiative cooling while urban heat retention sustains elevated lows relative to historical September averages. Model consensus on exact minimums remains sensitive to small shifts in wind speed or cloud cover, with fresh PMD updates and observational data expected to refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Karachi on September 22?
33°C or higher 83%
23°C or below 79%
27°C 44%
28°C 40%
23°C or below
79%
24°C
36%
25°C
36%
26°C
36%
27°C
36%
28°C
40%
29°C
38%
30°C
3%
31°C
17%
32°C
17%
33°C or higher
83%
33°C or higher 83%
23°C or below 79%
27°C 44%
28°C 40%
23°C or below
79%
24°C
36%
25°C
36%
26°C
36%
27°C
36%
28°C
40%
29°C
38%
30°C
3%
31°C
17%
32°C
17%
33°C or higher
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for the lowest temperature in Karachi on September 22 shows closely matched implied probabilities between warmer outcomes above 33°C and cooler readings at or below 23°C, with 27°C holding notable support. Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models indicate a minimum near 27–28°C under clear skies, moderate westerly winds, and high humidity from ongoing sea-breeze circulation. These conditions limit overnight radiative cooling while urban heat retention sustains elevated lows relative to historical September averages. Model consensus on exact minimums remains sensitive to small shifts in wind speed or cloud cover, with fresh PMD updates and observational data expected to refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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