Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 14–15°C for London’s daily minimum on September 22 because ensemble forecasts from the UK Met Office show mild overnight conditions under light winds and variable cloud. Recent high-pressure influence from the Atlantic has kept temperatures near or slightly above seasonal averages, limiting radiative cooling. The narrow spread between leading outcomes hinges on exact cloud cover timing and any late clearing that could drop readings to 14°C versus persistent stratus supporting 15°C. Model consensus remains stable, with fresh runs and surface observations expected to tighten resolution criteria before the period ends.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in London on September 22?
15°C 42%
14°C 35%
16°C 12%
13°C 11%
10°C or below
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
11%
14°C
35%
15°C
42%
16°C
12%
17°C
7%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
15°C 42%
14°C 35%
16°C 12%
13°C 11%
10°C or below
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
11%
14°C
35%
15°C
42%
16°C
12%
17°C
7%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 14–15°C for London’s daily minimum on September 22 because ensemble forecasts from the UK Met Office show mild overnight conditions under light winds and variable cloud. Recent high-pressure influence from the Atlantic has kept temperatures near or slightly above seasonal averages, limiting radiative cooling. The narrow spread between leading outcomes hinges on exact cloud cover timing and any late clearing that could drop readings to 14°C versus persistent stratus supporting 15°C. Model consensus remains stable, with fresh runs and surface observations expected to tighten resolution criteria before the period ends.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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