Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and European guidance, indicate clear skies and a stable warm air mass over Madrid through September 15, with expected nighttime lows around 17–20°C driven by moderate radiative cooling under high pressure. This aligns with the ongoing late-summer pattern but sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 15.5°C for the date. Model consensus shows limited variability in minimum temperatures, though small shifts in wind or dew points could adjust the exact reading at official stations. Trader odds near 50% for extremes like 12°C or below versus 22°C or higher reflect uncertainty in the final hours before resolution and potential for last-minute forecast revisions rather than current observational trends.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Madrid on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 15?
12°C or below 93%
22°C or higher 92%
13°C 39%
21°C 39%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 15, 2026
12°C or below
93%
13°C
39%
14°C
20%
15°C
21%
16°C
23%
17°C
20%
18°C
20%
19°C
20%
20°C
20%
21°C
39%
22°C or higher
92%
12°C or below 93%
22°C or higher 92%
13°C 39%
21°C 39%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 15, 2026
12°C or below
$10 Vol.
93%
13°C
$10 Vol.
39%
14°C
$0 Vol.
20%
15°C
$0 Vol.
21%
16°C
$0 Vol.
23%
17°C
$0 Vol.
20%
18°C
$0 Vol.
20%
19°C
$0 Vol.
20%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$10 Vol.
39%
22°C or higher
$10 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and European guidance, indicate clear skies and a stable warm air mass over Madrid through September 15, with expected nighttime lows around 17–20°C driven by moderate radiative cooling under high pressure. This aligns with the ongoing late-summer pattern but sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 15.5°C for the date. Model consensus shows limited variability in minimum temperatures, though small shifts in wind or dew points could adjust the exact reading at official stations. Trader odds near 50% for extremes like 12°C or below versus 22°C or higher reflect uncertainty in the final hours before resolution and potential for last-minute forecast revisions rather than current observational trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$40Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and European guidance, indicate clear skies and a stable warm air mass over Madrid through September 15, with expected nighttime lows around 17–20°C driven by moderate radiative cooling under high pressure. This aligns with the ongoing late-summer pattern but sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 15.5°C for the date. Model consensus shows limited variability in minimum temperatures, though small shifts in wind or dew points could adjust the exact reading at official stations. Trader odds near 50% for extremes like 12°C or below versus 22°C or higher reflect uncertainty in the final hours before resolution and potential for last-minute forecast revisions rather than current observational trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and European guidance, indicate clear skies and a stable warm air mass over Madrid through September 15, with expected nighttime lows around 17–20°C driven by moderate radiative cooling under high pressure. This aligns with the ongoing late-summer pattern but sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 15.5°C for the date. Model consensus shows limited variability in minimum temperatures, though small shifts in wind or dew points could adjust the exact reading at official stations. Trader odds near 50% for extremes like 12°C or below versus 22°C or higher reflect uncertainty in the final hours before resolution and potential for last-minute forecast revisions rather than current observational trends.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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