Forecast consensus from global models points to clear skies and light variable winds overnight in Munich, supporting radiative cooling under high pressure that favors a minimum near 11–13 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered at 9 °C and 10 °C, while the notable 25 % on 4 °C or below reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling rates and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind. Historical September averages near 10 °C provide context, yet current dry, stable conditions and limited model spread reduce the likelihood of extreme outliers ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Munich on September 15?
4°C or below 49%
14°C or higher 49%
13°C 37%
9°C 29%
4°C or below
49%
5°C
8%
6°C
10%
7°C
22%
8°C
25%
9°C
29%
10°C
27%
11°C
21%
12°C
21%
13°C
37%
14°C or higher
49%
4°C or below 49%
14°C or higher 49%
13°C 37%
9°C 29%
4°C or below
49%
5°C
8%
6°C
10%
7°C
22%
8°C
25%
9°C
29%
10°C
27%
11°C
21%
12°C
21%
13°C
37%
14°C or higher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from global models points to clear skies and light variable winds overnight in Munich, supporting radiative cooling under high pressure that favors a minimum near 11–13 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered at 9 °C and 10 °C, while the notable 25 % on 4 °C or below reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling rates and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind. Historical September averages near 10 °C provide context, yet current dry, stable conditions and limited model spread reduce the likelihood of extreme outliers ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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