The closely matched market-implied odds between 24°C and 26°C stem from typical nighttime radiative cooling patterns in Panama City’s tropical climate during the rainy season, where high humidity and variable cloud cover limit temperature drops. Official data from stations such as Albrook show a minimum near 24°C on September 20 amid scattered showers and light winds that moderated cooling, while slight differences in observation timing, station siting, or microscale humidity gradients can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. In this environment, clear periods allow greater heat loss to space, whereas increased cloudiness or rainfall retains warmth, creating the narrow spread traders are pricing. Updated climatological reports expected in coming days will clarify the precise official value used for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Panama City on September 20?
23°C 98%
24°C 50%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$1,143 Vol.
$1,143 Vol.
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
-
23°C
98%
24°C
50%
25°C
49%
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 98%
24°C 50%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$1,143 Vol.
$1,143 Vol.
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
-
23°C
98%
24°C
50%
25°C
49%
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 18, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market-implied odds between 24°C and 26°C stem from typical nighttime radiative cooling patterns in Panama City’s tropical climate during the rainy season, where high humidity and variable cloud cover limit temperature drops. Official data from stations such as Albrook show a minimum near 24°C on September 20 amid scattered showers and light winds that moderated cooling, while slight differences in observation timing, station siting, or microscale humidity gradients can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. In this environment, clear periods allow greater heat loss to space, whereas increased cloudiness or rainfall retains warmth, creating the narrow spread traders are pricing. Updated climatological reports expected in coming days will clarify the precise official value used for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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