**Trader consensus heavily favors a 22°C low in Seoul/Incheon on September 2, 2026, with 77.5% implied probability.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations and international model runs (including ECMWF and GFS guidance) show evening temperatures falling from the mid-20s°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly to northwesterly winds, with dew points near 21–22°C limiting radiative cooling. This setup produces an expected overnight minimum around 22–23°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the region where urban heat effects and residual humidity typically prevent deeper drops. Recent model consensus has remained stable without significant shifts from incoming high-pressure patterns or frontal systems, supporting the concentrated market positioning at 22°C while assigning negligible probability to outliers below 21°C or above 23°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 2?
22°C 97.4%
21°C 2.1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$11,944 Vol.
$11,944 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
97%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 97.4%
21°C 2.1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$11,944 Vol.
$11,944 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
97%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 22°C low in Seoul/Incheon on September 2, 2026, with 77.5% implied probability.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations and international model runs (including ECMWF and GFS guidance) show evening temperatures falling from the mid-20s°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly to northwesterly winds, with dew points near 21–22°C limiting radiative cooling. This setup produces an expected overnight minimum around 22–23°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the region where urban heat effects and residual humidity typically prevent deeper drops. Recent model consensus has remained stable without significant shifts from incoming high-pressure patterns or frontal systems, supporting the concentrated market positioning at 22°C while assigning negligible probability to outliers below 21°C or above 23°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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