**Trader sentiment centers on uncertainty in the overnight minimum between 11–13°C, with market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around those levels (12°C and 13°C near 51%, 11°C at 45%).** Official forecasts from Environment Canada and local outlets project a daytime high near 20–22°C under mostly cloudy to clearing conditions, followed by an overnight low of about 10°C as northeasterly winds of 15–20 km/h advect cooler air and skies become partly cloudy after midnight. This range reflects typical early-autumn radiative cooling under moderate wind mixing and a dew point near 6–10°C, which limits how far temperatures can fall. Model consensus and recent observations place the most likely minimum near the historical average low of ~12.9°C for the date, but small differences in cloud timing or wind strength can shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Lower probabilities for 10°C or below align with the risk of stronger cooling if skies clear more than expected, while higher readings remain unlikely given the established cool-air advection. New hourly observations and updated model runs overnight will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Toronto on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 20?
11°C 90%
12°C 51%
8°C or below 49%
10°C 20%
$164 Vol.
$164 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
8°C or below
49%
9°C
12%
10°C
20%
11°C
90%
12°C
51%
13°C
-
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
11°C 90%
12°C 51%
8°C or below 49%
10°C 20%
$164 Vol.
$164 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Vol.
49%
9°C
$15 Vol.
12%
10°C
$15 Vol.
20%
11°C
$5 Vol.
90%
12°C
$0 Vol.
51%
13°C
$9 Vol.
-
14°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$27 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on uncertainty in the overnight minimum between 11–13°C, with market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around those levels (12°C and 13°C near 51%, 11°C at 45%).** Official forecasts from Environment Canada and local outlets project a daytime high near 20–22°C under mostly cloudy to clearing conditions, followed by an overnight low of about 10°C as northeasterly winds of 15–20 km/h advect cooler air and skies become partly cloudy after midnight.
This range reflects typical early-autumn radiative cooling under moderate wind mixing and a dew point near 6–10°C, which limits how far temperatures can fall. Model consensus and recent observations place the most likely minimum near the historical average low of ~12.9°C for the date, but small differences in cloud timing or wind strength can shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Lower probabilities for 10°C or below align with the risk of stronger cooling if skies clear more than expected, while higher readings remain unlikely given the established cool-air advection. New hourly observations and updated model runs overnight will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$164Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on uncertainty in the overnight minimum between 11–13°C, with market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around those levels (12°C and 13°C near 51%, 11°C at 45%).** Official forecasts from Environment Canada and local outlets project a daytime high near 20–22°C under mostly cloudy to clearing conditions, followed by an overnight low of about 10°C as northeasterly winds of 15–20 km/h advect cooler air and skies become partly cloudy after midnight.
This range reflects typical early-autumn radiative cooling under moderate wind mixing and a dew point near 6–10°C, which limits how far temperatures can fall. Model consensus and recent observations place the most likely minimum near the historical average low of ~12.9°C for the date, but small differences in cloud timing or wind strength can shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Lower probabilities for 10°C or below align with the risk of stronger cooling if skies clear more than expected, while higher readings remain unlikely given the established cool-air advection. New hourly observations and updated model runs overnight will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$164Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment centers on uncertainty in the overnight minimum between 11–13°C, with market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around those levels (12°C and 13°C near 51%, 11°C at 45%).** Official forecasts from Environment Canada and local outlets project a daytime high near 20–22°C under mostly cloudy to clearing conditions, followed by an overnight low of about 10°C as northeasterly winds of 15–20 km/h advect cooler air and skies become partly cloudy after midnight. This range reflects typical early-autumn radiative cooling under moderate wind mixing and a dew point near 6–10°C, which limits how far temperatures can fall. Model consensus and recent observations place the most likely minimum near the historical average low of ~12.9°C for the date, but small differences in cloud timing or wind strength can shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Lower probabilities for 10°C or below align with the risk of stronger cooling if skies clear more than expected, while higher readings remain unlikely given the established cool-air advection. New hourly observations and updated model runs overnight will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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