Recent April CPI data at 0.6% month-over-month, following a 0.9% March print amid an energy supply shock from geopolitical tensions, has anchored trader expectations for the May release around 0.5% to 0.6%. Consensus forecasts and Cleveland Fed nowcasts cluster near 0.46%, reflecting partial easing in gasoline prices offset by persistent shelter and core services pressures. With outcomes for 0.5% and 0.6% closely matched in market-implied odds, the tight distribution highlights uncertainty over whether the prior month's energy surge will broaden into core categories or fade with moderating crude levels. The June 10 release will resolve the market, as traders weigh these dynamics against historical base rates for post-shock inflation moderation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update0.5% 39%
0.6% 30%
0.4% 14%
0.3% 9.8%
≤0.1%
4%
0.2%
7%
0.3%
10%
0.4%
14%
0.5%
39%
0.6%
30%
0.7%
11%
0.8%
4%
≥0.9%
5%
0.5% 39%
0.6% 30%
0.4% 14%
0.3% 9.8%
≤0.1%
4%
0.2%
7%
0.3%
10%
0.4%
14%
0.5%
39%
0.6%
30%
0.7%
11%
0.8%
4%
≥0.9%
5%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Binuksan ang Market: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April CPI data at 0.6% month-over-month, following a 0.9% March print amid an energy supply shock from geopolitical tensions, has anchored trader expectations for the May release around 0.5% to 0.6%. Consensus forecasts and Cleveland Fed nowcasts cluster near 0.46%, reflecting partial easing in gasoline prices offset by persistent shelter and core services pressures. With outcomes for 0.5% and 0.6% closely matched in market-implied odds, the tight distribution highlights uncertainty over whether the prior month's energy surge will broaden into core categories or fade with moderating crude levels. The June 10 release will resolve the market, as traders weigh these dynamics against historical base rates for post-shock inflation moderation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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