Russia's political system under President Vladimir Putin has demonstrated sustained stability into mid-2026, with no verified elite defections or organized challenges emerging despite wartime strains and isolated rumors. European intelligence reports from spring 2026 highlighted tightened Kremlin security measures and concerns over leaks or plots involving figures like Sergei Shoigu, yet analysts and fact-checks characterized these as unsubstantiated or exaggerated. Elite cohesion within security services, centralized control over information and the military, and the regime's focus on sustaining the Ukraine conflict have limited visible fractures. Traders assign low odds to a 2026 coup attempt because historical patterns of Russian leadership endurance and the absence of concrete triggers outweigh speculative tensions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update7% tsansa
$126,199 Vol.
$126,199 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
7% tsansa
$126,199 Vol.
$126,199 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's political system under President Vladimir Putin has demonstrated sustained stability into mid-2026, with no verified elite defections or organized challenges emerging despite wartime strains and isolated rumors. European intelligence reports from spring 2026 highlighted tightened Kremlin security measures and concerns over leaks or plots involving figures like Sergei Shoigu, yet analysts and fact-checks characterized these as unsubstantiated or exaggerated. Elite cohesion within security services, centralized control over information and the military, and the regime's focus on sustaining the Ukraine conflict have limited visible fractures. Traders assign low odds to a 2026 coup attempt because historical patterns of Russian leadership endurance and the absence of concrete triggers outweigh speculative tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$126,199Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's political system under President Vladimir Putin has demonstrated sustained stability into mid-2026, with no verified elite defections or organized challenges emerging despite wartime strains and isolated rumors. European intelligence reports from spring 2026 highlighted tightened Kremlin security measures and concerns over leaks or plots involving figures like Sergei Shoigu, yet analysts and fact-checks characterized these as unsubstantiated or exaggerated. Elite cohesion within security services, centralized control over information and the military, and the regime's focus on sustaining the Ukraine conflict have limited visible fractures. Traders assign low odds to a 2026 coup attempt because historical patterns of Russian leadership endurance and the absence of concrete triggers outweigh speculative tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$126,199Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's political system under President Vladimir Putin has demonstrated sustained stability into mid-2026, with no verified elite defections or organized challenges emerging despite wartime strains and isolated rumors. European intelligence reports from spring 2026 highlighted tightened Kremlin security measures and concerns over leaks or plots involving figures like Sergei Shoigu, yet analysts and fact-checks characterized these as unsubstantiated or exaggerated. Elite cohesion within security services, centralized control over information and the military, and the regime's focus on sustaining the Ukraine conflict have limited visible fractures. Traders assign low odds to a 2026 coup attempt because historical patterns of Russian leadership endurance and the absence of concrete triggers outweigh speculative tensions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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