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icon for Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?
Politika·Swalwell

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

icon for Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?
Politika·Swalwell

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

11% tsansa
Polymarket

$27,623 Vol.

11% tsansa
Polymarket

$27,623 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent resignations by Reps. Eric Swalwell and Tony Gonzales over sexual misconduct allegations, followed by Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick stepping down amid ethics probes and criminal charges, have already removed three of the four members. Trader consensus favoring “No” at 89.5 percent reflects the absence of comparable momentum for Rep. Cory Mills to depart by May 31. Mills continues to face separate allegations of assault and campaign finance issues yet has publicly denied wrongdoing, with no scheduled expulsion vote or party pressure producing an imminent exit. Historical patterns show House members rarely resign or face successful expulsion in such compressed timelines absent overwhelming bipartisan support. No major new developments have altered this outlook in the past two weeks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,623
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent resignations by Reps. Eric Swalwell and Tony Gonzales over sexual misconduct allegations, followed by Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick stepping down amid ethics probes and criminal charges, have already removed three of the four members. Trader consensus favoring “No” at 89.5 percent reflects the absence of comparable momentum for Rep. Cory Mills to depart by May 31. Mills continues to face separate allegations of assault and campaign finance issues yet has publicly denied wrongdoing, with no scheduled expulsion vote or party pressure producing an imminent exit. Historical patterns show House members rarely resign or face successful expulsion in such compressed timelines absent overwhelming bipartisan support. No major new developments have altered this outlook in the past two weeks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,623
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 11% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 11¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 11% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?" ay naka-generate ng $27.6K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 13, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?" ay 11% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 11% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.