Seven Republican senators have announced they will not seek re-election in the 2026 cycle, aligning with the market's strong consensus around that total. These include long-serving figures such as Mitch McConnell, alongside others like Joni Ernst, Thom Tillis, Tommy Tuberville, Cynthia Lummis, Steve Daines, and Alan Armstrong, driven by factors including age, health considerations, pursuit of other offices like governorships, and primary dynamics in certain states. Ballotpedia and other trackers confirm the seven-Republican figure alongside four Democrats as of mid-July 2026, with no subsequent announcements altering the count through mid-August. The resolution timing, tied to filing deadlines and final declarations, further supports stability at this level absent late developments.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update7 77%
11 11.3%
9 4.7%
5 1.6%
$101,383 Vol.
$101,383 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
<5
1%
5
2%
6
1%
7
77%
8
1%
9
5%
10
1%
11
16%
12+
<1%
7 77%
11 11.3%
9 4.7%
5 1.6%
$101,383 Vol.
$101,383 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
<5
$22,734 Vol.
1%
5
$17,752 Vol.
2%
6
$27,247 Vol.
1%
7
$16,988 Vol.
77%
8
$4,623 Vol.
1%
9
$2,208 Vol.
5%
10
$1,873 Vol.
1%
11
$2,845 Vol.
16%
12+
$5,112 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Seven Republican senators have announced they will not seek re-election in the 2026 cycle, aligning with the market's strong consensus around that total. These include long-serving figures such as Mitch McConnell, alongside others like Joni Ernst, Thom Tillis, Tommy Tuberville, Cynthia Lummis, Steve Daines, and Alan Armstrong, driven by factors including age, health considerations, pursuit of other offices like governorships, and primary dynamics in certain states. Ballotpedia and other trackers confirm the seven-Republican figure alongside four Democrats as of mid-July 2026, with no subsequent announcements altering the count through mid-August. The resolution timing, tied to filing deadlines and final declarations, further supports stability at this level absent late developments.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 12, 2025, 6:43 PM ET
Volume
$101,383Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 12, 2025, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Seven Republican senators have announced they will not seek re-election in the 2026 cycle, aligning with the market's strong consensus around that total. These include long-serving figures such as Mitch McConnell, alongside others like Joni Ernst, Thom Tillis, Tommy Tuberville, Cynthia Lummis, Steve Daines, and Alan Armstrong, driven by factors including age, health considerations, pursuit of other offices like governorships, and primary dynamics in certain states. Ballotpedia and other trackers confirm the seven-Republican figure alongside four Democrats as of mid-July 2026, with no subsequent announcements altering the count through mid-August. The resolution timing, tied to filing deadlines and final declarations, further supports stability at this level absent late developments.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$101,383Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 12, 2025, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Seven Republican senators have announced they will not seek re-election in the 2026 cycle, aligning with the market's strong consensus around that total. These include long-serving figures such as Mitch McConnell, alongside others like Joni Ernst, Thom Tillis, Tommy Tuberville, Cynthia Lummis, Steve Daines, and Alan Armstrong, driven by factors including age, health considerations, pursuit of other offices like governorships, and primary dynamics in certain states. Ballotpedia and other trackers confirm the seven-Republican figure alongside four Democrats as of mid-July 2026, with no subsequent announcements altering the count through mid-August. The resolution timing, tied to filing deadlines and final declarations, further supports stability at this level absent late developments.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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