Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran have centered on a proposed one-page memorandum to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and establish a 30-day window for deeper nuclear discussions, with Iran still reviewing the framework as of mid-May 2026. Core disagreements persist over uranium enrichment limits, verification measures, and sanctions relief, even as President Trump signaled possible flexibility on a 20-year moratorium rather than a permanent halt. These unresolved issues, combined with the brief timeline to May 31 and the history of stalled rounds in prior months, underpin the trader consensus reflected in the 92 percent probability against a comprehensive nuclear agreement by the deadline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
$666,901 Vol.
$666,901 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$666,901 Vol.
$666,901 Vol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran have centered on a proposed one-page memorandum to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and establish a 30-day window for deeper nuclear discussions, with Iran still reviewing the framework as of mid-May 2026. Core disagreements persist over uranium enrichment limits, verification measures, and sanctions relief, even as President Trump signaled possible flexibility on a 20-year moratorium rather than a permanent halt. These unresolved issues, combined with the brief timeline to May 31 and the history of stalled rounds in prior months, underpin the trader consensus reflected in the 92 percent probability against a comprehensive nuclear agreement by the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
Volume
$666,901Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran have centered on a proposed one-page memorandum to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and establish a 30-day window for deeper nuclear discussions, with Iran still reviewing the framework as of mid-May 2026. Core disagreements persist over uranium enrichment limits, verification measures, and sanctions relief, even as President Trump signaled possible flexibility on a 20-year moratorium rather than a permanent halt. These unresolved issues, combined with the brief timeline to May 31 and the history of stalled rounds in prior months, underpin the trader consensus reflected in the 92 percent probability against a comprehensive nuclear agreement by the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$666,901Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran have centered on a proposed one-page memorandum to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and establish a 30-day window for deeper nuclear discussions, with Iran still reviewing the framework as of mid-May 2026. Core disagreements persist over uranium enrichment limits, verification measures, and sanctions relief, even as President Trump signaled possible flexibility on a 20-year moratorium rather than a permanent halt. These unresolved issues, combined with the brief timeline to May 31 and the history of stalled rounds in prior months, underpin the trader consensus reflected in the 92 percent probability against a comprehensive nuclear agreement by the deadline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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