Recent bilateral trade consultations between the US and China have advanced reciprocal tariff reduction talks covering roughly $30 billion in goods per side, including agriculture and energy products, under frameworks established earlier in 2026. US officials have delayed new Section 301 tariffs on excess capacity until after the scheduled Trump-Xi summit later this month, preserving leverage while negotiators meet to build on the existing one-year trade truce. These steps reflect sustained diplomatic engagement ahead of potential further de-escalation measures by year-end. Trader consensus at 91.3% for an agreement by December 31 aligns with this momentum in official channels and the absence of major disruptions in recent weeks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update91% tsansa
$256,561 Vol.
$256,561 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
91% tsansa
$256,561 Vol.
$256,561 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent bilateral trade consultations between the US and China have advanced reciprocal tariff reduction talks covering roughly $30 billion in goods per side, including agriculture and energy products, under frameworks established earlier in 2026. US officials have delayed new Section 301 tariffs on excess capacity until after the scheduled Trump-Xi summit later this month, preserving leverage while negotiators meet to build on the existing one-year trade truce. These steps reflect sustained diplomatic engagement ahead of potential further de-escalation measures by year-end. Trader consensus at 91.3% for an agreement by December 31 aligns with this momentum in official channels and the absence of major disruptions in recent weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Binuksan ang Market: May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
Volume
$256,561Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent bilateral trade consultations between the US and China have advanced reciprocal tariff reduction talks covering roughly $30 billion in goods per side, including agriculture and energy products, under frameworks established earlier in 2026. US officials have delayed new Section 301 tariffs on excess capacity until after the scheduled Trump-Xi summit later this month, preserving leverage while negotiators meet to build on the existing one-year trade truce. These steps reflect sustained diplomatic engagement ahead of potential further de-escalation measures by year-end. Trader consensus at 91.3% for an agreement by December 31 aligns with this momentum in official channels and the absence of major disruptions in recent weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$256,561Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent bilateral trade consultations between the US and China have advanced reciprocal tariff reduction talks covering roughly $30 billion in goods per side, including agriculture and energy products, under frameworks established earlier in 2026. US officials have delayed new Section 301 tariffs on excess capacity until after the scheduled Trump-Xi summit later this month, preserving leverage while negotiators meet to build on the existing one-year trade truce. These steps reflect sustained diplomatic engagement ahead of potential further de-escalation measures by year-end. Trader consensus at 91.3% for an agreement by December 31 aligns with this momentum in official channels and the absence of major disruptions in recent weeks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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