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Politika·Mga Taripa

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

icon for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Politika·Mga Taripa

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$392,323 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$392,323 Vol.

Polymarket

Mexico

$3,094 Vol.

24%

South Korea

$60,510 Vol.

16%

Indonesia

$19,621 Vol.

14%

Israel

$572 Vol.

14%

Taiwan

$34,042 Vol.

13%

India

$70,846 Vol.

12%

United Kingdom

$592 Vol.

12%

South Africa

$559 Vol.

11%

Canada

$22,436 Vol.

11%

Argentina

$22,669 Vol.

10%

Australia

$6,287 Vol.

9%

Pakistan

$105,562 Vol.

8%

Russia

$2,285 Vol.

8%

European Union

$13,365 Vol.

7%

Brazil

$4,819 Vol.

6%

Japan

$17,770 Vol.

4%

Vietnam

$7,294 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration has advanced a series of bilateral Agreements on Reciprocal Trade (ARTs) since 2025, using tariff threats and reviews of existing arrangements like USMCA to secure commitments on market access, critical minerals, agriculture, and forced-labor standards. Signed deals include frameworks or full ARTs with the United Kingdom, Japan, Indonesia, Ecuador, Jordan, Argentina, Malaysia, Cambodia, Taiwan, and others, alongside understandings with China on soybeans, rare earths, and investment boards, plus an EU framework that entered into force in July 2026. Ongoing negotiations with India have seen interim joint statements and leadership directives to accelerate a commercially meaningful pact, while talks with Mexico and Canada continue amid tariff disputes and delayed USMCA review rounds. Additional frameworks exist with South Korea, Switzerland, Thailand, Vietnam, and Uzbekistan, with further progress likely tied to Section 301 actions and bilateral summits before the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$392,323
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration has advanced a series of bilateral Agreements on Reciprocal Trade (ARTs) since 2025, using tariff threats and reviews of existing arrangements like USMCA to secure commitments on market access, critical minerals, agriculture, and forced-labor standards. Signed deals include frameworks or full ARTs with the United Kingdom, Japan, Indonesia, Ecuador, Jordan, Argentina, Malaysia, Cambodia, Taiwan, and others, alongside understandings with China on soybeans, rare earths, and investment boards, plus an EU framework that entered into force in July 2026. Ongoing negotiations with India have seen interim joint statements and leadership directives to accelerate a commercially meaningful pact, while talks with Mexico and Canada continue amid tariff disputes and delayed USMCA review rounds. Additional frameworks exist with South Korea, Switzerland, Thailand, Vietnam, and Uzbekistan, with further progress likely tied to Section 301 actions and bilateral summits before the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$392,323
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 17 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Mexico" sa 24%, sinusundan ng "South Korea" sa 16%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 24¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 24% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" ay naka-generate ng $392.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 5, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?," i-browse ang 17 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" ay "Mexico" sa 24%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 24% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "South Korea" sa 16%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.