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Heopolitika·Trump

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

icon for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Heopolitika·Trump

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$268,681 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$268,681 Vol.

Polymarket

South Korea

$55,095 Vol.

28%

United Kingdom

$419 Vol.

27%

Canada

$2,417 Vol.

25%

India

$38,411 Vol.

24%

Brazil

$3,158 Vol.

19%

Israel

$343 Vol.

18%

South Africa

$354 Vol.

17%

Indonesia

$18,708 Vol.

16%

Vietnam

$5,155 Vol.

14%

Argentina

$19,939 Vol.

14%

Australia

$5,214 Vol.

14%

Mexico

$1,850 Vol.

14%

Russia

$1,979 Vol.

14%

Japan

$5,093 Vol.

13%

Pakistan

$71,400 Vol.

13%

Taiwan

$31,675 Vol.

10%

European Union

$7,470 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s reciprocal tariff strategy, initiated with broad duties in April 2025, has driven a wave of bilateral negotiations aimed at securing market access and supply-chain commitments before the 2027 deadline. Multiple framework agreements reached in mid-2025 with the United Kingdom, Japan, South Korea, and several Southeast Asian nations have since progressed into finalized reciprocal trade pacts, including Indonesia’s full agreement in February 2026 and additional deals with Argentina and Central American partners. Ongoing priorities include the scheduled 2026 review of the USMCA, continued talks with the European Union and India, and enforcement of existing arrangements that lower barriers for U.S. exports while maintaining adjusted tariff baselines. These developments reflect the administration’s focus on reciprocity and domestic manufacturing priorities as key influences on which countries advance new agreements.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$268,681
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s reciprocal tariff strategy, initiated with broad duties in April 2025, has driven a wave of bilateral negotiations aimed at securing market access and supply-chain commitments before the 2027 deadline. Multiple framework agreements reached in mid-2025 with the United Kingdom, Japan, South Korea, and several Southeast Asian nations have since progressed into finalized reciprocal trade pacts, including Indonesia’s full agreement in February 2026 and additional deals with Argentina and Central American partners. Ongoing priorities include the scheduled 2026 review of the USMCA, continued talks with the European Union and India, and enforcement of existing arrangements that lower barriers for U.S. exports while maintaining adjusted tariff baselines. These developments reflect the administration’s focus on reciprocity and domestic manufacturing priorities as key influences on which countries advance new agreements.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$268,681
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 17 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "South Korea" sa 28%, sinusundan ng "United Kingdom" sa 27%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 28¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 28% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" ay naka-generate ng $268.7K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 5, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?," i-browse ang 17 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" ay "South Korea" sa 28%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 28% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "United Kingdom" sa 27%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.