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Politika·Congress

Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?

icon for Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?
Politika·Congress

Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?

51% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
51% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Senate conducts any recorded vote on the CLARITY Act, or on a motion relating to it, by 11:59:59 PM ET on August 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "recorded vote" is any vote in which individual Senators' positions are officially recorded, including roll call votes and yea-and-nay votes. The following satisfy the resolution criteria: - A vote on final passage of the bill - A vote on a motion to proceed to the bill - A vote on cloture, including cloture on the bill or cloture on a motion to proceed to the bill The following do NOT satisfy the resolution criteria: - Voice votes or division votes where individual Senators' positions are not recorded - Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote - Committee votes - Votes on amendments to the bill - Procedural determinations by the presiding officer, or deemed passage without an actual vote For purposes of this market, votes on Senate legislation that serves as the legislative vehicle for the CLARITY Act's crypto market structure provisions (e.g., a Senate substitute for or companion to H.R. 3633) will count as votes on the CLARITY Act. This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov), Library of Congress (http://congress.gov), and Congressional Record (https://www.congress.gov/congressional-record).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Senate conducts any recorded vote on the CLARITY Act, or on a motion relating to it, by 11:59:59 PM ET on August 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "recorded vote" is any vote in which individual Senators' positions are officially recorded, including roll call votes and yea-and-nay votes.

The following satisfy the resolution criteria:
- A vote on final passage of the bill
- A vote on a motion to proceed to the bill
- A vote on cloture, including cloture on the bill or cloture on a motion to proceed to the bill

The following do NOT satisfy the resolution criteria:
- Voice votes or division votes where individual Senators' positions are not recorded
- Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote
- Committee votes
- Votes on amendments to the bill
- Procedural determinations by the presiding officer, or deemed passage without an actual vote

For purposes of this market, votes on Senate legislation that serves as the legislative vehicle for the CLARITY Act's crypto market structure provisions (e.g., a Senate substitute for or companion to H.R. 3633) will count as votes on the CLARITY Act.

This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov), Library of Congress (http://congress.gov), and Congressional Record (https://www.congress.gov/congressional-record).
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 8, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 29, 2026, 2:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Senate conducts any recorded vote on the CLARITY Act, or on a motion relating to it, by 11:59:59 PM ET on August 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "recorded vote" is any vote in which individual Senators' positions are officially recorded, including roll call votes and yea-and-nay votes. The following satisfy the resolution criteria: - A vote on final passage of the bill - A vote on a motion to proceed to the bill - A vote on cloture, including cloture on the bill or cloture on a motion to proceed to the bill The following do NOT satisfy the resolution criteria: - Voice votes or division votes where individual Senators' positions are not recorded - Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote - Committee votes - Votes on amendments to the bill - Procedural determinations by the presiding officer, or deemed passage without an actual vote For purposes of this market, votes on Senate legislation that serves as the legislative vehicle for the CLARITY Act's crypto market structure provisions (e.g., a Senate substitute for or companion to H.R. 3633) will count as votes on the CLARITY Act. This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov), Library of Congress (http://congress.gov), and Congressional Record (https://www.congress.gov/congressional-record).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Senate conducts any recorded vote on the CLARITY Act, or on a motion relating to it, by 11:59:59 PM ET on August 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "recorded vote" is any vote in which individual Senators' positions are officially recorded, including roll call votes and yea-and-nay votes. The following satisfy the resolution criteria: - A vote on final passage of the bill - A vote on a motion to proceed to the bill - A vote on cloture, including cloture on the bill or cloture on a motion to proceed to the bill The following do NOT satisfy the resolution criteria: - Voice votes or division votes where individual Senators' positions are not recorded - Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote - Committee votes - Votes on amendments to the bill - Procedural determinations by the presiding officer, or deemed passage without an actual vote For purposes of this market, votes on Senate legislation that serves as the legislative vehicle for the CLARITY Act's crypto market structure provisions (e.g., a Senate substitute for or companion to H.R. 3633) will count as votes on the CLARITY Act. This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov), Library of Congress (http://congress.gov), and Congressional Record (https://www.congress.gov/congressional-record).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Senate conducts any recorded vote on the CLARITY Act, or on a motion relating to it, by 11:59:59 PM ET on August 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "recorded vote" is any vote in which individual Senators' positions are officially recorded, including roll call votes and yea-and-nay votes.

The following satisfy the resolution criteria:
- A vote on final passage of the bill
- A vote on a motion to proceed to the bill
- A vote on cloture, including cloture on the bill or cloture on a motion to proceed to the bill

The following do NOT satisfy the resolution criteria:
- Voice votes or division votes where individual Senators' positions are not recorded
- Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote
- Committee votes
- Votes on amendments to the bill
- Procedural determinations by the presiding officer, or deemed passage without an actual vote

For purposes of this market, votes on Senate legislation that serves as the legislative vehicle for the CLARITY Act's crypto market structure provisions (e.g., a Senate substitute for or companion to H.R. 3633) will count as votes on the CLARITY Act.

This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov), Library of Congress (http://congress.gov), and Congressional Record (https://www.congress.gov/congressional-record).
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 8, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 29, 2026, 2:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Senate conducts any recorded vote on the CLARITY Act, or on a motion relating to it, by 11:59:59 PM ET on August 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "recorded vote" is any vote in which individual Senators' positions are officially recorded, including roll call votes and yea-and-nay votes. The following satisfy the resolution criteria: - A vote on final passage of the bill - A vote on a motion to proceed to the bill - A vote on cloture, including cloture on the bill or cloture on a motion to proceed to the bill The following do NOT satisfy the resolution criteria: - Voice votes or division votes where individual Senators' positions are not recorded - Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote - Committee votes - Votes on amendments to the bill - Procedural determinations by the presiding officer, or deemed passage without an actual vote For purposes of this market, votes on Senate legislation that serves as the legislative vehicle for the CLARITY Act's crypto market structure provisions (e.g., a Senate substitute for or companion to H.R. 3633) will count as votes on the CLARITY Act. This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov), Library of Congress (http://congress.gov), and Congressional Record (https://www.congress.gov/congressional-record).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 51% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 51¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 51% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jul 29, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?" ay 51% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 51% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.