Skip to main content

Para mag-trade sa US, pumunta sa polymarket.us

icon for Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

icon for Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

BAGO
Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$2,122 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$631 Vol.

47%

December 31

$1,491 Vol.

83%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump has issued over 160 pardons and commutations since January 2025, including batches for January 6 cases, drug offenses, fraud, and firearms violations, with 30 grants announced via his pardon czar on September 3, 2026, and an additional one on September 8. These actions often bypass traditional Department of Justice review in favor of direct appeals from allies, influencers, and brokers. Recent activity reflects an ongoing pattern of selective clemency tied to personal connections and policy priorities rather than uniform application. Trader sentiment on near-term markets hinges on the pace of future grants, with resolution typically based on official Department of Justice records or credible reporting of warrants within the specified window. No major scheduled events like debates or votes directly constrain the president's constitutional authority in this area.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,122
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump has issued over 160 pardons and commutations since January 2025, including batches for January 6 cases, drug offenses, fraud, and firearms violations, with 30 grants announced via his pardon czar on September 3, 2026, and an additional one on September 8. These actions often bypass traditional Department of Justice review in favor of direct appeals from allies, influencers, and brokers. Recent activity reflects an ongoing pattern of selective clemency tied to personal connections and policy priorities rather than uniform application. Trader sentiment on near-term markets hinges on the pace of future grants, with resolution typically based on official Department of Justice records or credible reporting of warrants within the specified window. No major scheduled events like debates or votes directly constrain the president's constitutional authority in this area.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,122
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Will Trump pardon anyone by...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 2 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "December 31" sa 83%, sinusundan ng "September 30" sa 47%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 83¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 83% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Will Trump pardon anyone by...?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Sep 14, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Will Trump pardon anyone by...?," i-browse ang 2 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Will Trump pardon anyone by...?" ay "December 31" sa 83%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 83% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "September 30" sa 47%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Will Trump pardon anyone by...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.