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Politika·Canada

Winnipeg Mayoral Election

icon for Winnipeg Mayoral Election
Politika·Canada

Winnipeg Mayoral Election

Scott Gillingham 40%

Mazher Alam 7%

Michael Vogiatzakis 7%

Joshua Pagdato 6%

Polymarket
BAGO

Scott Gillingham 40%

Mazher Alam 7%

Michael Vogiatzakis 7%

Joshua Pagdato 6%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Scott Gillingham

Scott Gillingham

$20 Vol.

40%

icon for Mazher Alam

Mazher Alam

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Michael Vogiatzakis

Michael Vogiatzakis

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Joshua Pagdato

Joshua Pagdato

$0 Vol.

6%

icon for Umar Hayat

Umar Hayat

$0 Vol.

6%

icon for Don Woodstock

Don Woodstock

$0 Vol.

6%

icon for Johnny Calderon

Johnny Calderon

$0 Vol.

6%

icon for Noah Redden

Noah Redden

$0 Vol.

6%

icon for Zachary Uminski

Zachary Uminski

$0 Vol.

6%

icon for Christopher Clacio

Christopher Clacio

$19 Vol.

5%

The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.Incumbent Scott Gillingham leads the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral race with trader consensus reflecting his name recognition and institutional position, though a June Probe Research poll revealed 46 percent of voters oppose his re-election bid and only 19 percent support a second term. A fragmented field of challengers such as Joshua Pagdato, Mazher Alam, Umar Hayat, Michael Vogiatzakis, Don Woodstock, Johnny Calderon, Christopher Clacio, and others has prevented any single alternative from consolidating support. Voter concerns over homelessness and addictions, combined with limited polling on decided preferences, sustain the tight positioning ahead of the October 28 vote. Further candidate withdrawals, debate performances, or targeted campaign announcements could shift probabilities by clarifying viable paths for challengers.

The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
Volume
$39
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 10, 2026, 3:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.Incumbent Scott Gillingham leads the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral race with trader consensus reflecting his name recognition and institutional position, though a June Probe Research poll revealed 46 percent of voters oppose his re-election bid and only 19 percent support a second term. A fragmented field of challengers such as Joshua Pagdato, Mazher Alam, Umar Hayat, Michael Vogiatzakis, Don Woodstock, Johnny Calderon, Christopher Clacio, and others has prevented any single alternative from consolidating support. Voter concerns over homelessness and addictions, combined with limited polling on decided preferences, sustain the tight positioning ahead of the October 28 vote. Further candidate withdrawals, debate performances, or targeted campaign announcements could shift probabilities by clarifying viable paths for challengers.

The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
Volume
$39
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 10, 2026, 3:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Winnipeg Mayoral Election" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 10 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Scott Gillingham" sa 40%, sinusundan ng "Mazher Alam" sa 7%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 40¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 40% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Winnipeg Mayoral Election" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 10, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Winnipeg Mayoral Election," i-browse ang 10 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Winnipeg Mayoral Election" ay "Scott Gillingham" sa 40%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 40% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Mazher Alam" sa 7%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Winnipeg Mayoral Election" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.