Skip to main content
icon for Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)
Економ·ВВП

Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)

icon for Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)
Економ·ВВП

Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)

Aug 28

Aug 28

0.2-0.3% 61%

0.0-0.1% 19%

0.4-0.5% 9.2%

<0.0% 3.6%

Polymarket

$17,756 Обс.

0.2-0.3% 61%

0.0-0.1% 19%

0.4-0.5% 9.2%

<0.0% 3.6%

Polymarket

$17,756 Обс.

<0.0%

$1,046 Обс.

4%

0.0-0.1%

$4,696 Обс.

13%

0.2-0.3%

$8,910 Обс.

61%

0.4-0.5%

$1,527 Обс.

9%

0.6-0.7%

$850 Обс.

<1%

0.8%+

$727 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada’s June 2026 monthly GDP advanced 0.2% month-over-month per Statistics Canada’s preliminary estimate, aligning with the 67.5% market-implied probability for the 0.2-0.3% bin. Gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, and retail trade more than offset contractions in utilities and agriculture, supporting the 0.8% annualized Q2 expansion. This outcome follows May’s 0.3% rise and reflects resilience amid earlier Q1 weakness tied to trade uncertainty and elevated energy prices. The official GDP-by-industry release on August 28 could prompt revisions, though historical patterns suggest limited deviation from the advance figure. Broader sentiment also incorporates Bank of Canada forecasts for subdued 2026 growth near 1.1%, with traders pricing limited upside beyond the 0.4-0.5% range at 10.8%.

This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.

The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm

If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Обсяг
$17,756
Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada’s June 2026 monthly GDP advanced 0.2% month-over-month per Statistics Canada’s preliminary estimate, aligning with the 67.5% market-implied probability for the 0.2-0.3% bin. Gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, and retail trade more than offset contractions in utilities and agriculture, supporting the 0.8% annualized Q2 expansion. This outcome follows May’s 0.3% rise and reflects resilience amid earlier Q1 weakness tied to trade uncertainty and elevated energy prices. The official GDP-by-industry release on August 28 could prompt revisions, though historical patterns suggest limited deviation from the advance figure. Broader sentiment also incorporates Bank of Canada forecasts for subdued 2026 growth near 1.1%, with traders pricing limited upside beyond the 0.4-0.5% range at 10.8%.

This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.

The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm

If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Обсяг
$17,756
Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.

Пов'язане

icon for Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?

Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?

35%
icon for Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

89%
icon for Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?

Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?

53%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «0.2-0.3%» з 61%, далі «0.0-0.1%» з 13%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)» згенерував $17.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Aug 6, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)» — «0.2-0.3%» з 61%. Наступний — «0.0-0.1%» з 13%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.