Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk’s typical X activity over a quiet three-day stretch, reflecting his established pattern of posting replies, commentary, and updates at a moderate but steady clip when no major company announcements or global events dominate his feed. The sub-40 bucket sits close behind because Musk’s volume can drop sharply during travel, family time, or focused work periods, creating meaningful downside risk. Higher brackets remain thin because sustained 20-plus tweets per day usually require external catalysts such as product launches or political developments, none of which appear on the immediate horizon before July 9. With the window only days away, any last-minute news cycle or Musk interview could quickly shift the distribution between the two leading outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено40-64 49%
<40 36%
65-89 13%
90-114 3.4%
НОВЕ
$19,923 Обс.
НОВЕ
$19,923 Обс.
Jul 11, 2026
<40
36%
40-64
49%
65-89
13%
90-114
3%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 49%
<40 36%
65-89 13%
90-114 3.4%
НОВЕ
$19,923 Обс.
НОВЕ
$19,923 Обс.
Jul 11, 2026
<40
$163 Обс.
36%
40-64
$620 Обс.
49%
65-89
$966 Обс.
13%
90-114
$1,494 Обс.
3%
115-139
$1,224 Обс.
1%
140-164
$514 Обс.
<1%
165-189
$268 Обс.
<1%
190-214
$4,896 Обс.
<1%
215-239
$4,202 Обс.
<1%
240+
$5,576 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 9 12:00 PM ET to July 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk’s typical X activity over a quiet three-day stretch, reflecting his established pattern of posting replies, commentary, and updates at a moderate but steady clip when no major company announcements or global events dominate his feed. The sub-40 bucket sits close behind because Musk’s volume can drop sharply during travel, family time, or focused work periods, creating meaningful downside risk. Higher brackets remain thin because sustained 20-plus tweets per day usually require external catalysts such as product launches or political developments, none of which appear on the immediate horizon before July 9. With the window only days away, any last-minute news cycle or Musk interview could quickly shift the distribution between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 9 12:00 PM ET to July 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Обсяг
$19,923Дата завершення
Jul 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 9 12:00 PM ET to July 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk’s typical X activity over a quiet three-day stretch, reflecting his established pattern of posting replies, commentary, and updates at a moderate but steady clip when no major company announcements or global events dominate his feed. The sub-40 bucket sits close behind because Musk’s volume can drop sharply during travel, family time, or focused work periods, creating meaningful downside risk. Higher brackets remain thin because sustained 20-plus tweets per day usually require external catalysts such as product launches or political developments, none of which appear on the immediate horizon before July 9. With the window only days away, any last-minute news cycle or Musk interview could quickly shift the distribution between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 9 12:00 PM ET to July 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$19,923Дата завершення
Jul 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk’s typical X activity over a quiet three-day stretch, reflecting his established pattern of posting replies, commentary, and updates at a moderate but steady clip when no major company announcements or global events dominate his feed. The sub-40 bucket sits close behind because Musk’s volume can drop sharply during travel, family time, or focused work periods, creating meaningful downside risk. Higher brackets remain thin because sustained 20-plus tweets per day usually require external catalysts such as product launches or political developments, none of which appear on the immediate horizon before July 9. With the window only days away, any last-minute news cycle or Musk interview could quickly shift the distribution between the two leading outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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