Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s firm grip on Turkey’s ruling institutions and security apparatus underpins trader expectations that he will remain in office through the end of 2026. His current presidential term runs until 2028, and recent court actions weakening the main opposition have further consolidated his position ahead of any potential snap vote. Speculation about the 72-year-old leader’s health has circulated since at least early 2026, yet no verified incapacitating event has materialized, and official schedules continue without interruption. While internal AKP factions have begun positioning for a future transition, the short window to December 31 leaves little realistic scope for resignation, removal, or constitutional succession absent an unforeseen crisis.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
5% шанс
$613,100 Обс.
$613,100 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Заробляйте 3.25%
5% шанс
$613,100 Обс.
$613,100 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Заробляйте 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s firm grip on Turkey’s ruling institutions and security apparatus underpins trader expectations that he will remain in office through the end of 2026. His current presidential term runs until 2028, and recent court actions weakening the main opposition have further consolidated his position ahead of any potential snap vote. Speculation about the 72-year-old leader’s health has circulated since at least early 2026, yet no verified incapacitating event has materialized, and official schedules continue without interruption. While internal AKP factions have begun positioning for a future transition, the short window to December 31 leaves little realistic scope for resignation, removal, or constitutional succession absent an unforeseen crisis.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Обсяг
$613,100Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETВирішувач
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s firm grip on Turkey’s ruling institutions and security apparatus underpins trader expectations that he will remain in office through the end of 2026. His current presidential term runs until 2028, and recent court actions weakening the main opposition have further consolidated his position ahead of any potential snap vote. Speculation about the 72-year-old leader’s health has circulated since at least early 2026, yet no verified incapacitating event has materialized, and official schedules continue without interruption. While internal AKP factions have begun positioning for a future transition, the short window to December 31 leaves little realistic scope for resignation, removal, or constitutional succession absent an unforeseen crisis.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$613,100Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETВирішувач
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s firm grip on Turkey’s ruling institutions and security apparatus underpins trader expectations that he will remain in office through the end of 2026. His current presidential term runs until 2028, and recent court actions weakening the main opposition have further consolidated his position ahead of any potential snap vote. Speculation about the 72-year-old leader’s health has circulated since at least early 2026, yet no verified incapacitating event has materialized, and official schedules continue without interruption. While internal AKP factions have begun positioning for a future transition, the short window to December 31 leaves little realistic scope for resignation, removal, or constitutional succession absent an unforeseen crisis.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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